NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	83		Excitement	6.7 [491]		MVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): +23.1%
Brooklyn Nets	77		Comeback	2.6 [529]		LVP	Tobias Harris (ORL): -21.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.13	-0.01	9	78%	0.25	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.01	11	91%	0.24	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	8	81%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	2	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	23	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.21	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	15	26%	-0.17	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.09	-0.02	7	57%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	8	67%	0.09	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	69%	0.05	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	15	45%	-0.00	3	-0.09	8	62%	-0.05
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	6	14%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	26.4	15.5	22.2	2.4	29.5	121.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +20.9%

ORL +0.3%

ORL +13.2%

ORL +15.6%

ORL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BKN	NBA	ORL	BKN	NBA
this game	17.3	15.5	14.9	94.3	87.5	105.1
season	14.6	15.0		103.6	101.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		109.3	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.0	18.2	16.1	20.0	17.3
BKN	16.3	16.1	15.2	14.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	79	81	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.21	14	-8	22	17.3	16.7	0.66	14.9	22.4	-7.56
Aaron Gordon	42	39	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.48	3	3	0	17.5	17.1	0.41	16.1	14.9	1.19
Victor Oladipo	65	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	-3	12	18.4	14.0	4.47	14.9	17.0	-2.08
Nikola Vucevic	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-5	16	17.5	16.5	1.08	15.1	16.7	-1.58
Mario Hezonja	29	29	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	3	0	14.4	18.7	-4.30	16.5	14.9	1.57
Evan Fournier	59	59	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	3	0	18.7	14.4	4.30	14.9	16.5	-1.57
Jason Smith	22	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	11	-16	16.5	17.5	-1.08	16.7	15.1	1.58
Shabazz Napier	23	23	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	9	-12	14.0	18.4	-4.47	17.0	14.9	2.08
Andrew Nicholson	17	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	8	-10	15.4	17.7	-2.29	19.2	14.6	4.67
Channing Frye	38	39	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.07	-3	9	-12	17.7	16.9	0.79	14.4	16.3	-1.90

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Robinson	18	18	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.12	7	-13	20	17.6	14.9	2.63	13.7	18.2	-4.52
Donald Sloan	33	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-12	18	16.4	14.9	1.53	15.6	18.3	-2.68
Willie Reed	24	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.22	5	-11	16	17.7	14.6	3.03	14.8	18.3	-3.43
Markel Brown	34	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-11	16	15.9	15.2	0.63	19.4	15.9	3.46
Thaddeus Young	54	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	0	-6	14.8	16.5	-1.73	18.6	15.2	3.40
Joe Johnson	72	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	0	-6	14.4	20.2	-5.77	17.8	15.1	2.77
Brook Lopez	64	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	5	-16	14.6	17.7	-3.03	18.3	14.8	3.43
Wayne Ellington	31	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	3	-12	15.1	15.7	-0.62	15.0	18.6	-3.57
Shane Larkin	55	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	6	-18	14.9	16.4	-1.53	18.3	15.6	2.68
Bojan Bogdanovic	55	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	3	-12	16.8	13.2	3.56	16.5	18.6	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.1,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 83, CHH 70	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.4,0.23,0.07,0.08,0,0,0	93.0%
UTA 106, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.07,0,0,0,0	92.4%
LAC 96, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.44,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.0%