NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	106		Excitement	6.4 [309]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +17.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	93		Comeback	2.0 [251]		LVP	Howard Eisley (UTA): -13.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	12	94%	0.34	5	-0.16	8	75%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.10	0.01	11	46%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Thurl Bailey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	61%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
John Stockton	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	61%	-0.00	0	0.00	10	90%	-0.01
Adam Keefe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	8	45%	0.03	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Todd Fuller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	36%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Howard Eisley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	4	10%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.02	13	58%	0.07	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	14	47%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.02
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	17	52%	-0.01	3	-0.06	12	50%	-0.06
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	2	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	0.05	10	50%	-0.06	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	32.1	17.4	29.5	2.3	33.4	139.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +62.3%

LAL -11.1%

UTA +10.5%

LAL -14.8%

UTA +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	17.0	16.1	15.8	121.8	106.9	99.6
season	16.4	14.9		102.6	104.7
opponent	15.8	16.0		102.0	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.4	18.9	15.9	16.7	17.0
LAL	17.9	13.8	16.8	16.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	70	69	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.08	23	-10	33	16.4	19.6	-3.29	15.5	18.3	-2.81
Karl Malone	71	70	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.07	20	-7	27	16.5	19.4	-2.91	16.3	15.4	0.93
Greg Ostertag	65	64	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.00	18	-5	23	16.9	17.4	-0.55	16.2	15.9	0.26
Shandon Anderson	36	36	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	8	-3	17.9	16.4	1.52	15.4	16.6	-1.17
John Stockton	52	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	1	11	17.6	16.2	1.39	15.4	17.1	-1.67
Howard Eisley	35	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	12	-11	16.2	17.6	-1.39	17.1	15.4	1.67
Bryon Russell	57	57	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	12	-11	16.7	17.5	-0.81	16.5	15.4	1.07
Todd Fuller	22	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	18	-23	17.4	16.9	0.55	15.9	16.2	-0.26
Thurl Bailey	14	15	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	18	-23	19.6	16.5	3.06	16.3	16.1	0.28
Adam Keefe	13	14	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.03	-5	18	-23	19.4	16.6	2.80	18.1	15.7	2.35

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	19	17	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.01	8	-21	29	14.5	16.6	-2.09	19.8	16.3	3.44
Derek Fisher	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-13	13	17.9	15.8	2.14	16.0	17.2	-1.19
J.R. Reid	13	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-12	11	15.6	16.2	-0.57	16.5	17.1	-0.52
Sean Rooks	20	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-11	9	17.0	15.8	1.16	17.2	16.9	0.26
Tyronn Lue	45	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-14	15	14.8	17.5	-2.61	16.0	17.9	-1.89
Rick Fox	56	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-13	13	15.8	16.7	-0.94	16.8	17.4	-0.64
Derek Harper	29	30	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	1	-15	17.2	15.5	1.71	18.8	16.0	2.80
Shaquille O'Neal	54	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	-3	-7	15.9	16.5	-0.57	17.0	17.0	0.05
Kobe Bryant	66	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-1	-11	16.2	15.7	0.51	16.3	19.1	-2.80
Glen Rice	57	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	3	-19	15.5	17.2	-1.67	17.4	16.1	1.32
Dennis Rodman	63	65	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.19	-19	6	-25	17.3	13.0	4.29	16.8	17.6	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.07,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 107, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.07,0	93.2%
ORL 83, BKN 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.1,0.07,0,0,0	92.4%
CLE 106, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	92.3%