NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Excitement	7.2 [415]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +23.3%
Washington Wizards	99		Comeback	2.0 [467]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -20.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.13	0.01	20	60%	0.27	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	6	79%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.02	12	52%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	5	70%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	9	39%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	23	41%	0.05	6	-0.25	3	67%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	14	68%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	27	47%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.04
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	4	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	16	44%	-0.05	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	26.4	13.0	22.0	2.4	31.4	123.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +61.0%

CLE +6.5%

WAS -16.3%

WAS -3.4%

CLE +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.8	14.7	112.8	104.2	107.5
season	14.8	14.8		111.2	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		107.9	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.1	16.3	14.0	16.5	15.7
WAS	15.9	12.5	15.4	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	54	53	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	2	3	16.6	14.4	2.25	15.4	14.0	1.46
Kyle Korver	45	44	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	2	3	16.7	14.8	1.91	15.3	14.4	0.90
LeBron James	84	86	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	3	1	15.6	16.4	-0.79	14.2	20.3	-6.12
Cedi Osman	29	28	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	0	7	15.9	15.6	0.35	19.0	13.0	6.02
Kevin Love	64	65	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	1	5	15.5	16.2	-0.70	13.9	16.8	-2.89
JR Smith	61	63	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.21	1	6	-5	15.6	15.8	-0.24	13.3	17.7	-4.46
Channing Frye	18	17	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	4	-1	15.0	15.9	-0.86	18.6	13.9	4.70
Jae Crowder	46	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	4	-1	15.0	16.4	-1.35	14.2	15.4	-1.17
Jose Calderon	43	44	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	6	-5	15.0	16.3	-1.36	13.0	16.3	-3.29
Tristan Thompson	26	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	7	-7	15.7	15.7	-0.05	17.4	13.8	3.61

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	53	51	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-11	15	13.3	16.6	-3.28	14.9	16.6	-1.64
Mike Scott	66	66	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-8	9	14.0	16.5	-2.49	15.6	15.8	-0.19
Bradley Beal	85	84	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-5	3	14.9	13.8	1.11	15.9	13.6	2.34
Kelly Oubre Jr.	63	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-11	15	13.3	17.8	-4.56	15.2	16.5	-1.27
Jodie Meeks	24	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	18.5	13.5	4.96	16.0	15.6	0.37
John Wall	69	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-5	3	13.5	18.1	-4.58	15.4	16.3	-0.90
Ian Mahinmi	22	23	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	1	-9	18.5	13.7	4.77	14.9	15.9	-1.03
Tomas Satoransky	44	45	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	8	-23	16.7	13.1	3.57	16.1	15.3	0.72
Markieff Morris	49	48	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.29	-11	4	-15	15.7	13.8	1.95	16.9	14.4	2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.01,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 102, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.42,0.21,0.34,0.33,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.04,0	93.0%
CHH 96, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.13,0.03,0.07,0,0,0	93.0%
DET 84, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.9%