NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	84		Excitement	6.3 [560]		MVP	Sasha Pavlovic (CLE): +14.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	72		Comeback	2.0 [412]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (CLE): -22.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	17	63%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Antonio McDyess	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	15	42%	-0.01	1	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Carlos Delfino	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	24	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	12	17%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	2	150%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	13	58%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	22	48%	0.06	5	-0.18	10	80%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	12	27%	-0.17	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	-0.00	6	14%	-0.11	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	34.2	14.8	23.1	2.5	32.5	131.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -1.4%

DET +18.8%

DET +15.8%

DET +22.8%

CLE -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	18.0	16.3	15.6	100.0	85.7	104.4
season	16.9	16.2		108.3	105.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.9	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.9	16.5	18.4	21.2	18.0
CLE	19.3	15.5	15.9	14.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	63	64	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.15	16	-4	20	18.6	16.0	2.62	16.6	15.4	1.14
Chauncey Billups	63	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	3	6	19.1	14.4	4.71	15.7	18.2	-2.56
Rasheed Wallace	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	5	2	19.2	14.4	4.82	15.6	18.2	-2.61
Tayshaun Prince	65	65	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	-2	16	18.0	18.0	-0.05	15.9	17.7	-1.76
Lindsey Hunter	27	27	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	4	4	16.3	18.7	-2.40	17.8	15.6	2.20
Richard Hamilton	66	67	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.12	13	-1	14	17.7	18.8	-1.04	16.6	15.3	1.29
Maurice Evans	23	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	15	-18	18.3	17.8	0.47	15.8	16.5	-0.68
Antonio McDyess	31	32	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	12	-12	14.8	19.8	-4.95	17.3	15.7	1.55
Dale Davis	12	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	11	-10	16.1	18.3	-2.19	15.9	16.4	-0.47
Carlos Delfino	8	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	17	-22	15.1	18.3	-3.14	18.4	16.1	2.38

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	16	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-14	16	17.1	16.1	0.99	16.1	18.4	-2.32
Damon Jones	40	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-10	8	16.4	16.3	0.10	15.9	20.0	-4.08
Drew Gooden	56	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-8	4	16.8	15.4	1.34	18.6	16.8	1.76
Donyell Marshall	48	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-7	2	15.9	16.9	-1.04	17.5	18.7	-1.19
Eric Snow	44	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-2	-8	16.3	16.4	-0.10	20.0	15.9	4.08
LeBron James	81	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-2	-8	16.3	16.3	-0.01	18.1	14.3	3.77
Ronald Murray	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	4	-20	16.1	17.3	-1.17	18.3	16.5	1.76
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	64	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	3	-18	16.3	16.5	-0.23	17.8	18.5	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 109, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.2,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
ATL 84, DEN 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.7%
CLE 106, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	92.9%