NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	84		Excitement	6.3 [548]		MVP	Nazr Mohammed (ATL): +10.3%
Denver Nuggets	76		Comeback	1.5 [418]		LVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): -20.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	5	92%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Glover	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	10	48%	0.04	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	6	33%	-0.02	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	24	51%	0.05	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	5	38%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	6	43%	0.00	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	19	39%	-0.07	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	8	60%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Trepagnier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	11	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.08	0.03	21	52%	-0.05	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	11	26%	-0.14	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	4.4	27.6	16.4	25.5	2.4	24.5	125.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +35.3%

DEN -4.1%

ATL +21.1%

DEN -0.7%

DEN -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DEN	NBA	ATL	DEN	NBA
this game	17.3	16.2	15.7	97.7	88.4	100.5
season	15.3	14.9		98.2	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.9	16.9	16.7	17.9	17.3
DEN	15.6	15.8	15.3	18.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	72	71	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.20	14	-6	20	17.2	17.6	-0.32	16.8	13.2	3.62
Jacque Vaughn	59	58	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-3	14	17.3	17.4	-0.15	16.3	16.0	0.33
Theo Ratliff	57	56	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	2	4	17.4	17.2	0.20	16.5	15.6	0.85
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	63	63	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	2	4	18.1	15.2	2.91	15.1	19.1	-3.96
Dion Glover	49	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	6	-4	17.5	17.0	0.48	14.6	18.2	-3.61
Boris Diaw	65	66	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	5	-2	17.1	17.9	-0.73	16.8	14.3	2.46
Alan Henderson	23	23	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	6	-4	15.2	18.1	-2.91	19.1	15.1	3.96
Nazr Mohammed	29	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	6	-4	17.2	17.4	-0.20	15.6	16.5	-0.85
Jason Terry	13	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	14	-20	17.9	17.2	0.73	15.3	16.4	-1.08

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney White	13	12	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-12	16	15.0	16.4	-1.40	18.7	17.1	1.68
Francisco Elson	39	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-8	8	15.1	17.1	-2.08	18.5	16.3	2.17
Andre Miller	76	76	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.15	2	-10	12	15.6	21.0	-5.45	17.4	16.2	1.25
Jeff Trepagnier	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.09	-1	-7	6	21.8	15.4	6.35	13.8	17.8	-3.96
Marcus Camby	51	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-8	8	16.0	16.5	-0.51	16.8	18.1	-1.30
Earl Boykins	35	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-1	-6	16.9	15.7	1.13	17.7	17.1	0.62
Chris Andersen	26	26	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	1	-10	18.1	15.4	2.71	16.7	17.6	-0.87
Nene	49	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	1	-10	16.7	15.5	1.13	16.8	18.0	-1.27
Carmelo Anthony	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	1	-10	15.3	19.9	-4.53	17.9	14.7	3.14
Voshon Lenard	61	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.27	-11	3	-14	16.6	15.2	1.39	16.9	18.3	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.7%
CHI 95, WAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	93.2%
SAS 96, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.39,0.05,0,0,0	93.2%