NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	107		Excitement	7.3 [332]		MVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): +14.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	2.3 [162]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): -24.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	11	73%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dee Brown	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	8	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Minor	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.02	8	55%	0.07	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Tyus Edney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	58%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Pervis Ellison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	23	46%	0.04	4	-0.12	8	62%	-0.02
Travis Knight	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	7	21%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	16	59%	0.08	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	62%	0.10	6	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.04	16	33%	-0.05	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.12	0.04	10	53%	-0.10	4	-0.15	10	60%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	28.3	14.7	26.0	1.5	43.5	140.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +39.3%

PHI -9.7%

PHI -14.7%

BOS +35.8%

PHI -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	13.4	14.4	15.6	103.9	97.1	102.5
season	15.1	15.4		100.2	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.1		102.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.8	14.7	13.5	11.9	13.4
PHI	13.9	15.9	15.8	12.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dee Brown	68	67	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.23	15	-9	24	13.7	12.7	1.09	15.9	11.9	3.96
Antoine Walker	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-3	12	13.1	14.2	-1.03	14.7	13.6	1.06
Chauncey Billups	64	64	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	-2	10	13.1	13.8	-0.71	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Pervis Ellison	31	31	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-5	16	14.2	13.0	1.21	15.8	13.8	1.99
Greg Minor	51	50	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.31	-1	7	-8	13.1	13.6	-0.52	13.1	15.7	-2.62
Walter McCarty	73	75	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	2	2	13.9	12.2	1.66	15.1	12.7	2.48
Travis Knight	54	55	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.16	-2	8	-10	12.4	14.4	-2.00	13.7	15.2	-1.52
Andrew DeClercq	21	22	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	9	-12	14.4	13.1	1.32	14.1	14.5	-0.45
Tyus Edney	51	53	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	9	-12	12.5	14.3	-1.80	12.7	16.3	-3.63
Dana Barros	23	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	14	-22	15.0	12.9	2.14	14.7	14.3	0.40

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Overton	33	31	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.09	9	-15	24	13.7	14.8	-1.09	14.4	13.0	1.40
Terry Cummings	27	26	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.02	5	-11	16	15.1	14.2	0.85	14.0	13.2	0.78
Tim Thomas	16	15	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-10	14	13.5	14.6	-1.11	10.9	13.8	-2.94
Rex Walters	17	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-2	-2	13.8	14.6	-0.74	13.2	13.4	-0.17
Derrick Coleman	85	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-6	6	14.3	15.0	-0.68	13.2	14.1	-0.96
Clar. Weatherspoon	67	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	3	-12	14.5	14.4	0.06	13.7	12.7	1.01
Scott Williams	27	27	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	1	-8	14.9	14.3	0.60	13.4	13.4	-0.01
Jim Jackson	91	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	1	-8	14.7	12.8	1.82	13.5	12.5	0.99
Jerry Stackhouse	84	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	2	-10	14.1	15.7	-1.56	13.4	13.5	-0.15
Allen Iverson	73	72	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	7	-20	14.9	13.3	1.60	13.1	14.1	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 106, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.07,0,0,0,0	93.2%
PHI 104, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0	92.9%
CLE 106, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	92.5%