NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	9.2 [121]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +49.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Comeback	7.4 [102]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -28.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.50	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.52,0.5	0.25	0.27	0.03	30	66%	0.53	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.31,0.28,0.28	0.08	0.19	-0.01	21	57%	0.35	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	6	69%	0.14	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	54%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04
Shaun Livingston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	4	42%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	5	92%	0.20	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	52%	0.04	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-0.05	31	40%	-0.10	3	-0.09	10	80%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.01,-0.14,-0.29	-0.29	-0.09	-0.21	-0.01	27	44%	0.05	5	-0.34	10	80%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.4	38.4	17.4	32.6	3.4	40.4	159.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +88.4%

OKC -23.6%

OKC -31.8%

GSW +19.9%

OKC -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	OKC	NBA	GSW	OKC	NBA
this game	14.4	15.3	14.9	110.2	105.2	105.1
season	13.7	14.4		112.3	111.5
opponent	15.1	15.1		104.4	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.5	15.7	12.8	15.9	14.4
OKC	16.5	12.5	15.4	16.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	82	81	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.32	16	-9	25	14.2	15.6	-1.43	14.9	17.4	-2.52
Draymond Green	85	86	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.32	16	-9	25	14.1	16.3	-2.17	15.4	14.2	1.20
Harrison Barnes	58	54	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-5	17	14.7	14.0	0.68	15.2	15.3	-0.07
Stephen Curry	85	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-5	17	13.8	18.5	-4.74	15.4	14.3	1.11
Andre Iguodala	80	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	9	-11	14.5	14.0	0.53	15.0	16.5	-1.57
Anderson Varejao	4	3	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	5	-3	10.7	14.6	-3.84	8.0	15.5	-7.51
Andrew Bogut	54	55	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	6	-5	15.0	13.8	1.19	15.5	14.9	0.60
Festus Ezeli	3	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	8	-9	10.0	14.6	-4.57	17.3	15.2	2.13
Leandro Barbosa	4	3	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	13	-19	23.2	14.1	9.20	15.0	15.3	-0.28
Marreese Speights	9	9	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.00	-7	14	-21	16.0	14.3	1.73	18.1	15.0	3.13
Shaun Livingston	26	26	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.00	-8	15	-23	15.3	14.1	1.20	15.7	15.1	0.58

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	22	24	0.39	-0.89	1.28	-0.05	15	-22	37	13.0	16.0	-3.00	15.5	14.1	1.47
Anthony Morrow	9	7	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-6	5	14.3	15.4	-1.03	12.0	14.6	-2.62
Randy Foye	13	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-4	1	18.4	14.8	3.60	13.7	14.5	-0.77
Steven Adams	55	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	5	-17	17.3	12.5	4.82	14.7	14.1	0.55
Dion Waiters	68	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-2	-3	15.8	14.0	1.74	15.4	12.1	3.25
Kevin Durant	91	93	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	-1	-5	15.2	16.4	-1.19	14.4	15.8	-1.45
Andre Roberson	59	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	-1	-5	13.5	18.2	-4.70	14.2	14.8	-0.54
Serge Ibaka	74	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.36	-6	-1	-5	15.1	15.7	-0.59	13.9	16.3	-2.38
Russell Westbrook	89	91	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.27	-11	4	-15	15.2	16.1	-0.94	14.2	17.6	-3.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.57,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.68,0.15,0	92.3%
POR 103, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.76,0.71,0.76,0.31,0	91.0%
NOH 102, NJN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.8,0.78,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.27,0	90.8%