inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 102 Excitement7.5 [259] MVPAnthony Morrow (NJN): +22.7%
New Jersey Nets 94 Comeback11.5 [56] LVPKris Humphries (NJN): -22.1%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marco Belinelli0.210,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.210.160.060.011377%0.2100.0000%0.00
Chris Kaman0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.180.050.140.011371%0.294-0.102100%0.03
Jarrett Jack0.150,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.04,0.15,0.150.030.140.031453%0.161-0.022100%0.00
Lance Thomas0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.010.00583%0.0900.002100%0.03
Trevor Ariza0.050,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01759%0.0500.00367%-0.00
Xavier Henry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.00350%0.0300.002100%0.01
Greivis Vasquez0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.02-0.02643%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Gustavo Ayon-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01850%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.040.00333%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Jason Smith-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.00933%-0.063-0.0600%0.00

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.140.07-0.021377%0.231-0.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.070.12-0.021357%0.2100.002100%0.01
MarShon Brooks0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00753%0.0400.00560%-0.01
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.013100%0.072-0.051100%0.00
Jordan Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jerry Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.000.00950%0.053-0.084100%0.03
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Deron Williams0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.16,-0.22-0.22-0.06-0.16-0.012442%-0.172-0.0400%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.22-0.22-0.11-0.100.001036%-0.084-0.142100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.51.727.014.621.50.838.5126.5
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +54.9%
NJN -1.6%
NJN -8.0%
NOH +6.7%
NJN -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHNJNNBANOHNJNNBA
this game15.816.715.6114.6106.8102.8
season16.316.299.2101.3
opponent15.215.7107.6103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH13.717.216.516.115.8
NJN15.719.715.516.616.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lance Thomas32310.79-0.291.090.4711-31416.515.41.0618.116.02.06
Jarrett Jack56540.61-0.110.710.4071616.714.42.3116.517.1-0.68
Trevor Ariza59560.59-0.090.680.4453216.514.42.1415.918.1-2.15
Marco Belinelli57560.430.070.370.3535-216.414.81.6216.417.4-1.02
Chris Kaman51530.370.130.240.109-11016.215.40.7916.517.1-0.64
Gustavo Ayon55530.180.32-0.130.1226-415.516.4-0.9116.517.0-0.45
Greivis Vasquez37380.080.42-0.34-0.189-11014.516.8-2.2817.116.40.71
Al-Farouq Aminu3032-0.090.59-0.68-0.1835-214.416.5-2.1418.115.92.15
Xavier Henry2929-0.120.62-0.74-0.09-19-1014.216.6-2.3417.016.60.46
Jason Smith3938-0.350.85-1.19-0.11-816-2415.715.9-0.2716.516.9-0.35

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan Williams1090.13-0.630.770.024-121617.816.61.2114.616.0-1.41
Johan Petro15170.03-0.530.57-0.032-101219.916.13.7818.515.23.28
Jerry Smith22200.01-0.510.520.07-2-6417.216.60.6114.316.3-1.96
Anthony Morrow4347-0.13-0.370.25-0.399-172616.816.70.0816.515.01.46
MarShon Brooks4342-0.18-0.320.130.17-124-1617.216.30.9015.016.5-1.46
Kris Humphries7374-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.370-8816.119.9-3.7815.915.60.26
Shelden Williams5251-0.45-0.05-0.410.07-1810-2817.016.40.6215.815.8-0.04
Deron Williams6669-0.510.01-0.52-0.33-6-2-416.617.2-0.6116.314.31.96
Gerald Green4545-0.510.01-0.52-0.25-91-1017.116.30.7415.116.6-1.48
Gerald Wallace7171-0.520.02-0.54-0.28-80-815.920.4-4.4915.816.0-0.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.8,0.78,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 97, UTA 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.26,092.5%
LAC 89, POR 830.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.62,0.78,0.87,0.26,091.4%
MIL 103, NJN 980.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.69,0.84,0.77,0.37,091.2%