NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	89		Excitement	7.6 [314]		MVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): +14.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	85		Comeback	8.0 [122]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -26.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	7	57%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	18	63%	0.17	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	14	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.03
Aron Baynes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.09
Tony Parker	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	13	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.03
Matt Bonner	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.02	4	80%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	10	57%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	13	34%	-0.01	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.18	-0.05	17	56%	0.19	3	-0.30	7	71%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.27	-0.27	-0.08	-0.19	0.00	13	46%	-0.09	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	27.3	15.6	29.3	2.4	43.7	142.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -23.8%

SAS +8.0%

SAS +10.8%

SAS +47.3%

SAS +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	16.8	15.2	15.1	100.0	93.4	104.2
season	15.4	14.6		106.9	110.5
opponent	15.3	14.9		104.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	19.0	15.1	15.5	17.7	16.8
LAC	13.7	16.9	15.1	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	47	47	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.56	10	-6	16	16.1	17.7	-1.60	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Kawhi Leonard	69	69	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.40	9	-5	14	16.7	17.3	-0.68	15.3	14.8	0.56
Boris Diaw	47	48	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.47	6	-2	8	16.8	16.9	-0.11	14.6	15.9	-1.34
Tim Duncan	65	68	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	-3	10	16.5	17.6	-1.04	15.7	13.7	2.07
Tony Parker	64	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.57	0	4	-4	17.0	16.3	0.70	14.5	16.9	-2.37
Kyle Anderson	13	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.11	3	1	2	14.5	17.2	-2.67	17.9	14.7	3.23
Cory Joseph	29	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.21	4	0	4	16.2	17.1	-0.91	16.5	14.5	1.99
Aron Baynes	24	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	7	-10	17.6	16.5	1.04	13.7	15.7	-2.07
Matt Bonner	42	43	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.09	-2	6	-8	16.9	16.8	0.11	15.9	14.6	1.34
Danny Green	45	47	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.06	-14	18	-32	18.6	15.0	3.64	14.7	15.7	-0.98

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Cunningham	3	0	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.14	-2	-2	0	4.3	15.6	-11.23	0.0	16.8	-16.82
Hedo Turkoglu	7	7	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-6	8	12.4	15.4	-3.00	19.9	16.6	3.30
Glen Davis	7	8	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.07	3	-7	10	15.7	15.2	0.56	18.1	16.7	1.43
Matt Barnes	40	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	0	-4	13.6	16.5	-2.85	16.9	16.8	0.13
Jordan Farmar	20	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	2	-8	13.5	15.7	-2.11	16.4	16.9	-0.47
Spencer Hawes	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-7	10	14.7	15.4	-0.70	16.5	17.0	-0.52
DeAndre Jordan	68	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-5	6	15.6	14.1	1.49	17.1	15.9	1.22
Chris Paul	72	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-6	8	15.5	14.1	1.45	16.9	16.4	0.47
Jamal Crawford	73	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-2	0	15.4	14.5	0.87	17.1	15.8	1.23
JJ Redick	67	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.50	-2	-2	0	16.2	12.3	3.89	16.5	17.8	-1.23
Blake Griffin	70	69	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.25	-15	11	-26	15.6	13.8	1.87	16.2	18.9	-2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.68,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 108, OKC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.57,0.15,0	92.3%
BOS 118, NYK 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.15,0	91.3%
POR 103, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.76,0.71,0.76,0.31,0	91.0%