NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	118		Excitement	9.3 [89]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +59.1%
New York Knicks	116		Comeback	8.3 [193]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -29.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.59	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.59	0.17	0.43	0.01	18	70%	0.66	2	-0.07	10	100%	0.09
Ray Allen	0.45	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.45,0.45	0.15	0.29	-0.01	19	65%	0.45	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.00	16	56%	0.18	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.07
Semih Erden	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Von Wafer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	10	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.29	-0.11	-0.20	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	6	-0.32	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.45	0.45	0.09	0.35	-0.02	14	59%	0.47	1	-0.02	6	50%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.19	-0.03	16	67%	0.41	5	-0.14	7	100%	0.05
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.19	0.19	0.21	0.00	0.02	22	71%	0.32	4	-0.14	11	82%	0.03
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	17	53%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.3	31.4	18.7	32.0	3.7	38.4	151.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +14.9%

NYK -1.1%

BOS +33.1%

NYK -1.5%

BOS +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.5	121.6	119.6	105.7
season	15.7	14.3		104.8	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		108.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.8	15.7	14.4	16.0	14.9
NYK	16.2	15.7	13.3	14.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	46	45	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.44	12	-10	22	14.2	15.6	-1.49	15.4	14.2	1.12
Paul Pierce	83	82	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.50	0	2	-2	14.6	17.1	-2.58	14.5	15.9	-1.32
Ray Allen	82	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.56	-3	5	-8	15.4	12.6	2.77	14.5	16.1	-1.62
Kevin Garnett	74	73	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.50	-4	6	-10	15.2	14.0	1.23	14.5	15.6	-1.16
Von Wafer	10	8	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.13	5	-3	8	13.1	15.1	-2.05	10.6	15.1	-4.50
Rajon Rondo	68	70	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.35	-7	9	-16	15.2	14.2	1.04	14.6	15.2	-0.65
Marquis Daniels	36	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	-2	6	15.4	14.7	0.76	14.7	14.8	-0.10
Semih Erden	31	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	3	-4	13.7	15.5	-1.81	15.1	14.6	0.47
Glen Davis	55	55	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.22	4	-2	6	15.5	14.3	1.19	16.0	13.1	2.84

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawne Williams	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.09	-3	1	-4	16.5	14.6	1.95	15.2	14.9	0.29
Amar'e Stoudemire	86	87	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.49	9	-11	20	14.0	20.4	-6.33	15.2	12.8	2.38
Toney Douglas	32	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	6	-14	15.3	14.5	0.88	14.3	15.3	-1.01
Ronny Turiaf	18	16	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	9	-20	18.8	13.8	5.01	12.6	15.4	-2.84
Landry Fields	72	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.54	8	-10	18	14.1	16.8	-2.70	15.6	12.9	2.65
Danilo Gallinari	86	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-2	2	15.1	12.3	2.80	14.9	15.4	-0.55
Wilson Chandler	88	88	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.52	1	-3	4	14.5	16.9	-2.35	15.0	14.4	0.54
Raymond Felton	93	92	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	4	-10	14.7	16.2	-1.56	14.8	16.8	-1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.68,0.15,0	91.3%
IND 104, CHA 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.57,0.16,0	90.7%
LAC 82, MEM 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.15,0	90.5%