NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	104		Excitement	8.6 [154]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +36.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	101		Comeback	5.4 [169]		LVP	Darren Collison (IND): -16.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.37	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.15	0.23	0.01	23	66%	0.46	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.25	0.10	0.15	0.00	4	86%	0.25	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Roy Hibbert	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.10	0.03	8	54%	0.12	0	0.00	8	87%	0.07
Josh McRoberts	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.05
Mike Dunleavy	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	13	38%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	10	32%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	13	66%	0.33	4	-0.17	18	67%	-0.07
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	73%	0.08	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.10	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.06	-0.00	13	36%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.00	6	52%	-0.04	0	0.00	9	100%	0.09
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	14	52%	0.09	4	-0.24	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	32.0	15.5	25.8	1.8	41.2	144.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +38.8%

CHA -19.7%

CHA -9.1%

IND +38.0%

IND +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHA	NBA	IND	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.7	15.5	114.3	109.8	105.7
season	14.7	16.2		103.1	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		106.5	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.2	16.1	15.0	15.6	15.7
CHA	13.8	18.2	14.4	17.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	72	72	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.38	13	-10	23	15.7	16.0	-0.33	16.2	14.1	2.09
Tyler Hansbrough	37	36	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-9	21	15.4	16.0	-0.56	17.3	14.7	2.53
Mike Dunleavy	67	66	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.45	7	-4	11	16.0	15.0	1.00	14.9	17.9	-2.99
T.J. Ford	43	44	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	0	3	15.6	15.9	-0.25	17.4	14.2	3.24
Danny Granger	70	73	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	-5	13	15.5	16.4	-0.90	16.0	14.6	1.40
Josh McRoberts	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	1	1	16.2	15.5	0.70	15.0	16.2	-1.17
Darren Collison	48	48	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	3	-3	15.9	15.6	0.25	14.2	17.4	-3.24
James Posey	24	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	13	-23	15.3	15.9	-0.55	15.8	15.7	0.11
Solomon Jones	19	20	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.03	-10	13	-23	16.0	15.7	0.33	14.1	16.2	-2.09
Paul George	41	40	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.02	-10	13	-23	15.8	15.7	0.17	15.8	15.7	0.11

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Brown	31	30	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.01	11	-14	25	14.2	16.5	-2.38	16.0	15.6	0.39
Shaun Livingston	19	19	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.03	7	-10	17	16.6	15.5	1.06	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Gerald Henderson	32	31	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.04	5	-8	13	14.0	16.7	-2.67	15.1	16.1	-0.97
Nazr Mohammed	25	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-2	1	14.7	16.1	-1.40	17.2	15.2	1.98
DeSagana Diop	41	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	6	-15	17.3	14.5	2.80	15.0	16.3	-1.29
Tyrus Thomas	39	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.42	2	-5	7	17.2	14.7	2.46	15.2	16.1	-0.97
Gerald Wallace	78	78	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.44	-6	3	-9	15.9	14.6	1.29	16.0	14.2	1.85
Boris Diaw	64	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.40	-8	5	-13	16.0	15.2	0.75	15.1	17.4	-2.36
D.J. Augustin	78	78	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.41	-9	6	-15	15.2	18.6	-3.42	15.9	14.5	1.40
Stephen Jackson	53	52	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.51	-7	4	-11	15.8	15.6	0.26	16.6	14.6	2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.57,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, SAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.08,0	92.6%
BOS 111, WAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.62,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.74,0.89,0.55,0.15,0	91.2%
LAL 97, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.26,0	91.1%