NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Excitement	4.8 [877]		MVP	Channing Frye (CLE): +16.6%
Toronto Raptors	99		Comeback	1.0 [1068]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -19.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.00	5	110%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.00	0.03	16	65%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	17	59%	0.12	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.02
Iman Shumpert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	9	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.03	-0.02	19	30%	-0.15	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	24	56%	0.15	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.02	10	70%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	10	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.02	13	71%	0.09	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.5	32.8	16.0	26.6	2.7	31.4	135.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +36.7%

TOR +1.8%

TOR +13.6%

CLE -4.4%

TOR +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	16.4	17.3	14.9	97.7	116.5	105.1
season	15.8	16.1		110.3	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.9		104.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.0	16.8	16.3	16.6	16.4
TOR	16.0	17.5	15.7	20.2	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	21.0	16.3	4.66	30.5	17.0	13.52
Mo Williams	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	21.0	16.3	4.66	30.5	17.0	13.52
James Jones	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	21.0	16.3	4.66	30.5	17.0	13.52
Timofey Mozgov	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	21.0	16.3	4.66	30.5	17.0	13.52
Tristan Thompson	47	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-15	15	16.2	16.6	-0.36	15.9	19.1	-3.23
Matthew Dellavedova	22	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-13	11	15.7	16.6	-0.96	19.5	16.5	3.04
Richard Jefferson	16	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-12	9	15.5	16.6	-1.10	19.4	16.8	2.64
Iman Shumpert	36	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-6	-3	16.5	16.3	0.18	19.7	15.4	4.32
Kevin Love	56	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-9	3	16.3	16.6	-0.31	15.4	20.7	-5.33
J.R. Smith	69	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	16.5	15.8	0.71	16.4	20.7	-4.28
LeBron James	72	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.05	-12	-3	-9	16.4	16.4	-0.04	17.1	18.1	-0.96
Channing Frye	38	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	-1	-13	16.5	16.3	0.14	18.4	16.4	2.00
Kyrie Irving	70	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	-1	-13	16.5	15.8	0.72	16.2	22.0	-5.80

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	52	50	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-2	19	17.6	16.8	0.73	16.9	15.7	1.21
Cory Joseph	55	54	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	0	15	18.2	15.7	2.46	16.2	16.7	-0.42
Bismack Biyombo	69	71	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	3	9	16.8	19.6	-2.87	16.3	16.9	-0.57
DeMar DeRozan	71	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	5	5	17.0	18.7	-1.70	16.2	17.1	-0.89
DeMarre Carroll	50	53	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	8	-1	15.5	19.9	-4.36	16.5	16.2	0.25
Kyle Lowry	56	58	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	7	1	17.8	16.3	1.55	16.8	15.5	1.33
Terrence Ross	23	21	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	10	-5	18.7	16.8	1.92	15.9	16.6	-0.71
James Johnson	19	18	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	14	-13	20.6	16.3	4.23	16.0	16.5	-0.50
Luis Scola	30	33	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	15	-15	16.0	18.0	-2.05	16.1	16.6	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 92, PHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
IND 80, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
ORL 86, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%