NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	92		Excitement	4.8 [837]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (GSW): +10.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	113		Comeback	1.0 [1106]		LVP	John Starks (GSW): -16.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.01	12	65%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.02	16	67%	0.11	2	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Tim Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Mookie Blaylock	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	6	17%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	43%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Vonteego Cummings	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	8	33%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
John Starks	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	12	20%	-0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.03	19	69%	0.15	2	-0.05	11	100%	0.05
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	10	65%	0.08	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	86%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	19	57%	0.05	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.04
George Lynch	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	4	43%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	36%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	31.6	15.5	25.4	1.7	29.4	130.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +25.6%

PHI +1.5%

PHI +16.7%

PHI +4.3%

PHI +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHI	NBA	GSW	PHI	NBA
this game	17.1	13.2	15.2	96.8	118.9	101.7
season	14.7	15.0		97.2	99.5
opponent	15.5	14.7		98.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	18.5	14.8	15.0	20.7	17.1
PHI	13.6	12.9	14.3	12.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Young	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	21.4	16.7	4.70	12.6	13.3	-0.67
Jason Caffey	52	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-15	9	17.7	16.3	1.49	13.9	12.5	1.34
Mookie Blaylock	55	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	-13	5	15.7	19.0	-3.28	13.3	13.1	0.16
Tony Farmer	35	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-14	7	18.9	16.0	2.91	13.0	13.4	-0.36
Adonal Foyle	50	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-11	1	16.7	17.5	-0.87	13.0	13.5	-0.52
John Starks	60	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-9	-3	16.7	17.8	-1.10	13.5	12.9	0.57
Vonteego Cummings	52	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	-7	-7	18.4	15.4	3.02	13.4	13.0	0.35
Donyell Marshall	68	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	-4	-13	17.3	16.6	0.67	12.7	14.6	-1.83
Antawn Jamison	72	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.05	-17	-4	-13	16.1	20.3	-4.21	13.5	12.4	1.14

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	74	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	3	15	13.1	13.7	-0.61	16.3	19.9	-3.57
Matt Geiger	75	75	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.06	17	4	13	13.6	11.9	1.64	16.4	19.4	-3.01
George Lynch	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	14	-7	13.5	12.7	0.84	17.5	16.2	1.23
Larry Hughes	48	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	4	13	12.5	14.0	-1.46	17.2	17.0	0.19
Todd MacCulloch	27	27	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	10	1	12.1	13.7	-1.58	16.1	17.5	-1.40
Tyrone Hill	62	62	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	13	-5	14.0	11.9	2.04	17.3	16.6	0.76
Aaron McKie	32	33	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.14	10	11	-1	12.7	13.5	-0.88	18.8	16.1	2.72
Eric Snow	52	52	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	16	-11	13.8	12.5	1.33	16.7	17.5	-0.72
Billy Owens	25	24	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	16	-11	12.9	13.4	-0.44	17.6	16.9	0.74
Bruce Bowen	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	21	-21	0.0	13.2	-13.24	2.0	17.2	-15.23
Nazr Mohammed	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	16	-11	11.6	13.4	-1.80	19.8	16.9	2.95
Jumaine Jones	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	12.6	13.3	-0.67	21.4	16.7	4.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, OKC 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
WAS 95, ORL 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NJN 78, CHH 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%