NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	86		Excitement	4.1 [950]		MVP	Bob Sura (CLE): +14.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	1.1 [999]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -11.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Strong	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	68%	0.07	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Horace Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Lawson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Dan Schayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	6	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Edwards	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
David Benoit	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	10	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	7	29%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	8	32%	-0.08	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	7	91%	0.17	2	-0.03	9	100%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.08	6	53%	0.05	3	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	12	55%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	9	59%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	-0.03	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	17	34%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	31.5	16.4	23.2	2.0	29.3	129.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +40.3%

CLE +1.8%

CLE +2.7%

CLE +3.7%

CLE +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CLE	NBA	ORL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	16.4	15.6	98.9	104.5	102.5
season	16.7	15.4		100.3	99.4
opponent	16.0	15.6		97.0	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.8	17.0	16.7	15.9	16.3
CLE	17.7	14.3	16.0	17.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Lawson	21	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-12	17	15.9	16.5	-0.64	17.6	16.0	1.61
Mark Price	19	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-1	-5	14.1	17.0	-2.93	15.4	16.6	-1.22
Kevin Edwards	36	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.22	2	-9	11	15.3	17.1	-1.82	16.6	16.3	0.30
Gerald Wilkins	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-3	-1	17.6	15.2	2.39	17.3	15.6	1.73
Derek Strong	51	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-9	11	15.5	17.6	-2.16	17.4	15.0	2.37
Kevin Ollie	33	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-11	15	15.8	16.7	-0.85	17.5	15.7	1.81
Derek Harper	38	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	17.6	15.3	2.28	15.6	17.0	-1.41
Bo Outlaw	59	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-1	-5	16.6	15.8	0.82	16.0	17.1	-1.06
Dan Schayes	46	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	2	-11	16.7	15.9	0.79	15.0	18.0	-2.91
David Benoit	43	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.21	-5	-2	-3	16.2	16.5	-0.31	15.7	17.0	-1.25
Horace Grant	48	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	5	-17	16.9	15.6	1.32	16.4	16.4	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	48	47	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-4	15	16.2	16.6	-0.47	16.4	16.3	0.08
Brevin Knight	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	0	7	15.9	17.7	-1.80	16.3	16.5	-0.18
Shawn Kemp	75	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	2	3	16.5	15.6	0.96	15.8	19.6	-3.85
Wesley Person	72	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	5	-3	16.6	15.5	1.13	16.2	17.1	-0.87
Vitaly Potapenko	28	27	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	-1	9	16.9	16.1	0.75	16.3	16.4	-0.07
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	57	57	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	8	-9	16.5	16.2	0.25	16.0	17.0	-1.00
Cedric Henderson	55	53	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.15	2	5	-3	16.3	16.5	-0.14	17.1	15.2	1.87
Derek Anderson	25	23	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	7	-7	17.7	15.9	1.80	16.5	16.3	0.18
Danny Ferry	19	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	6	-5	15.5	16.6	-1.15	17.9	16.0	1.98
Shawnelle Scott	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	7	-7	8.5	16.6	-8.06	23.0	16.3	6.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 68, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
IND 90, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
WAS 89, NOH 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%