NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	89		Excitement	4.1 [1038]		MVP	Jason Smith (NOH): +15.2%
New Orleans Hornets	97		Comeback	1.4 [1149]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -10.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	-0.01	0.06	18	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	12	75%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	69%	0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Trevor Booker	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	17	58%	0.03	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Cartier Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	-0.05	10	20%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.00	11	80%	0.19	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	9	68%	0.13	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.01	7	79%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	67%	0.12	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	7	38%	0.01	2	-0.03	12	67%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	10	42%	-0.02	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.5	31.5	16.4	30.2	1.7	36.0	141.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +28.4%

NOH +8.9%

NOH +7.6%

NOH +3.5%

NOH +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NOH	NBA	WAS	NOH	NBA
this game	15.5	15.6	15.5	95.7	105.4	105.7
season	15.1	16.2		100.9	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.2		104.4	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.9	17.1	16.9	13.6	15.5
NOH	13.9	17.2	16.6	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Thornton	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-8	8	17.9	15.3	2.59	18.4	15.4	3.01
Rashard Lewis	53	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-6	4	16.6	14.0	2.55	15.5	15.7	-0.21
Cartier Martin	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-2	-4	14.0	15.7	-1.73	13.3	16.0	-2.64
JaVale McGee	37	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-9	10	13.4	16.9	-3.53	15.6	15.7	-0.12
Andray Blatche	76	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-11	14	15.1	17.2	-2.12	15.7	15.5	0.20
Trevor Booker	31	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	0	-8	16.1	15.2	0.84	13.3	16.7	-3.44
Yi Jianlian	32	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	4	-16	17.2	14.6	2.52	16.4	15.2	1.19
Kirk Hinrich	67	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-7	6	16.0	14.2	1.82	16.6	13.1	3.56
Nick Young	77	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	15.1	17.3	-2.18	15.3	17.3	-1.95
John Wall	72	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	2	-12	15.1	16.8	-1.62	15.8	15.0	0.74

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	49	48	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	1	6	15.7	15.6	0.14	15.2	15.8	-0.61
David West	69	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	2	4	15.9	14.7	1.19	15.5	15.5	0.03
Willie Green	38	39	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	1	6	15.2	15.9	-0.76	16.3	15.0	1.29
Trevor Ariza	76	77	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	8	-8	16.2	12.9	3.34	15.7	14.4	1.37
Jason Smith	48	49	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	2	4	16.0	15.2	0.77	14.9	16.2	-1.28
Jarrett Jack	33	32	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	0	8	15.1	15.9	-0.79	16.5	15.0	1.56
Chris Paul	58	60	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	8	-8	16.1	14.8	1.37	15.2	16.1	-0.95
David Andersen	24	25	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	5	-2	15.2	15.8	-0.57	16.2	15.2	0.95
Aaron Gray	30	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	7	-6	15.5	15.7	-0.14	14.8	15.8	-1.09
Marco Belinelli	27	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	6	-4	13.9	16.4	-2.52	14.8	15.8	-0.98
DJ Mbenga	6	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	8	-8	14.3	15.7	-1.39	17.3	15.4	1.93
Quincy Pondexter	2	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	8	-8	9.5	15.8	-6.27	13.7	15.6	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 90, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	96.0%
GSW 102, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,1	95.8%
DEN 77, VAN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1	95.7%