NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	4.1 [787]		MVP	Mike Bibby (NYK): +9.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.2 [244]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -13.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.00	-0.00	7	86%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.08	12	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Harrellson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.01	11	50%	-0.02	3	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Iman Shumpert	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	10	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	13	44%	-0.02	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	12	66%	0.07	2	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	15	55%	0.09	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	7	39%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	12	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	28.2	15.7	25.0	1.8	27.5	123.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +22.4%

CLE +9.8%

CLE +20.6%

NYK -1.3%

NYK -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.6	100.0	108.9	102.8
season	14.9	15.5		102.3	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.7		107.1	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	15.8	19.6	13.3	15.9
CLE	13.2	18.5	14.0	19.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Harrellson	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-9	10	17.2	15.7	1.50	11.4	16.9	-5.44
Steve Novak	42	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-12	16	15.0	16.6	-1.63	19.4	13.1	6.25
Iman Shumpert	51	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	17.7	13.5	4.20	14.0	18.8	-4.84
Mike Bibby	46	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-1	-6	17.1	14.6	2.45	13.7	18.6	-4.84
Toney Douglas	37	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-8	8	13.5	17.5	-4.09	19.6	13.6	5.96
Amar'e Stoudemire	49	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-4	0	15.0	16.9	-1.95	18.9	12.6	6.31
Landry Fields	39	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-5	2	14.4	17.0	-2.66	18.6	14.2	4.38
Tyson Chandler	50	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	3	-14	16.7	14.8	1.88	13.4	19.3	-5.89
Carmelo Anthony	57	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	3	-14	16.6	14.6	1.99	13.6	20.5	-6.82
J.R. Smith	67	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-5	2	15.6	16.7	-1.11	16.7	14.4	2.28

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	57	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	1	6	17.0	14.6	2.46	15.2	16.9	-1.73
Manny Harris	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	4	0	16.6	13.6	3.03	15.7	17.0	-1.34
Antawn Jamison	56	57	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	-4	16	13.4	20.6	-7.25	17.2	13.6	3.62
Samardo Samuels	44	44	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	8	-8	18.1	14.2	3.87	14.7	17.0	-2.36
Donald Sloan	42	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	7	-6	18.6	13.9	4.71	13.7	17.7	-4.01
Kyrie Irving	48	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	1	6	13.9	18.6	-4.71	17.7	13.7	4.01
Tristan Thompson	46	46	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	0	8	14.2	18.1	-3.87	17.0	14.7	2.36
Anthony Parker	47	48	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	3	2	14.3	18.2	-3.89	17.0	14.6	2.34
Luke Harangody	34	33	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.25	-4	12	-16	20.6	13.4	7.25	13.6	17.2	-3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 74, MIN 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
DEN 77, VAN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1	96.3%
LAL 95, BOS 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%