NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	77		Excitement	4.0 [976]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): +12.3%
Vancouver Grizzlies	88		Comeback	1.2 [1009]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (DEN): -18.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Wolf	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Harold Ellis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	13	58%	0.00	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.01
Danny Fortson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	70%	-0.01	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Battie	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	13	52%	-0.03	3	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Eric Washington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	13	48%	-0.04	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	16	32%	-0.12	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.03	16	60%	0.13	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.04
Sam Mack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	12	59%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	47%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lee Mayberry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	14	36%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	8	40%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	27.3	15.6	26.4	2.5	36.2	133.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +35.6%

VAN +9.5%

VAN +1.6%

DEN -0.2%

VAN +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	VAN	NBA	DEN	VAN	NBA
this game	16.7	16.2	15.6	88.5	100.0	102.5
season	16.2	15.1		96.7	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.2		109.1	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.7	19.4	19.3	13.3	16.7
VAN	13.1	15.9	18.6	18.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Goldwire	29	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-11	11	15.6	17.2	-1.64	15.6	16.6	-0.92
Harold Ellis	7	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-6	1	19.1	16.5	2.68	17.6	16.1	1.45
Joe Wolf	32	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-11	11	16.0	17.1	-1.12	17.4	15.6	1.72
Danny Fortson	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-13	15	18.2	16.0	2.21	16.9	16.0	0.94
Tony Battie	69	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-2	-7	15.9	19.8	-3.91	16.4	15.6	0.86
Dean Garrett	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	1	-13	17.7	15.2	2.53	15.2	17.7	-2.53
LaPhonso Ellis	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-2	-7	16.5	18.0	-1.53	15.9	18.2	-2.23
Bobby Jackson	74	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	-2	-7	16.8	16.0	0.80	16.5	14.7	1.72
Eric Washington	72	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	2	-15	16.8	16.3	0.50	16.3	16.0	0.30

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Reeves	70	70	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.08	19	-8	27	16.3	16.1	0.23	17.5	13.3	4.21
Antonio Daniels	76	75	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-3	17	16.1	17.2	-1.07	16.2	19.7	-3.47
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	67	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.07	15	-4	19	16.1	16.6	-0.43	16.0	19.0	-3.08
Sam Mack	56	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	-6	23	15.7	17.1	-1.39	15.7	18.4	-2.68
Pete Chilcutt	35	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	11	-11	17.8	15.2	2.59	18.2	15.7	2.56
Blue Edwards	36	35	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.34	-3	14	-17	16.3	16.2	0.16	17.0	16.4	0.59
George Lynch	33	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	9	-7	17.9	15.2	2.67	16.5	16.8	-0.27
Otis Thorpe	53	52	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.25	-6	17	-23	14.7	18.6	-3.87	16.4	17.1	-0.73
Lee Mayberry	6	7	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	9	-7	17.3	16.2	1.17	25.7	15.9	9.83
Chris Robinson	6	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	16	-21	17.0	16.2	0.82	11.2	17.0	-5.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 79, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
WAS 88, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
NYK 90, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	96.3%