NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	79		Excitement	3.5 [1118]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +16.9%
San Antonio Spurs	98		Comeback	1.2 [1273]		LVP	Tim Frazier (NOP): -10.0%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	13	62%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	10	36%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Terrence Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	7	29%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	8	31%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.03	0.02	9	90%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.14	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Nicolas Laprovittola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.03	5	54%	0.07	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	13	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	37%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	27.9	14.8	25.8	1.8	26.0	123.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +29.6%

SAS +11.4%

SAS +1.3%

SAS +7.5%

SAS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAS	NBA	NOP	SAS	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	14.8	84.0	106.5	107.7
season	14.1	15.4		104.1	110.1
opponent	14.8	15.0		103.7	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.0	14.2	15.0	15.0	14.8
SAS	15.7	15.8	16.3	17.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cheick Diallo	11	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	12.3	15.1	-2.84	19.3	15.8	3.47
Buddy Hield	34	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-20	21	13.9	15.3	-1.40	16.9	15.8	1.03
Alexis Ajinca	31	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.17	-9	-10	1	15.1	14.6	0.53	14.7	17.0	-2.38
Dante Cunningham	45	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-15	11	14.9	14.7	0.22	15.8	16.6	-0.82
Lance Stephenson	13	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.14	-10	-9	-1	13.5	15.0	-1.44	14.5	16.5	-1.94
Terrence Jones	30	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-9	-1	14.6	14.8	-0.21	14.9	16.8	-1.84
Langston Galloway	47	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-10	1	14.1	15.5	-1.38	15.8	16.6	-0.75
Omer Asik	28	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-9	-1	14.9	14.7	0.22	17.5	15.6	1.86
Solomon Hill	51	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-11	3	14.7	14.8	-0.11	16.7	15.6	1.03
Tim Frazier	48	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-6	-7	15.1	14.4	0.75	16.3	16.1	0.22
E'Twaun Moore	48	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-5	-9	15.5	14.0	1.56	16.4	16.0	0.32
Anthony Davis	61	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-2	-15	15.3	13.7	1.62	16.2	16.2	-0.06

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Anderson	50	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.26	23	-4	27	16.0	16.4	-0.41	15.1	14.3	0.74
Kawhi Leonard	54	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.00	13	6	7	16.0	16.5	-0.54	14.9	14.5	0.41
Pau Gasol	40	42	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	4	11	16.7	15.8	0.92	14.8	14.7	0.06
LaMarcus Aldridge	48	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	6	7	16.3	16.1	0.22	15.1	14.4	0.75
Patty Mills	46	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	8	3	16.4	16.0	0.37	15.2	14.3	0.91
Dewayne Dedmon	32	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	8	3	14.8	16.9	-2.14	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Nicolas Laprovittola	42	44	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	12	-5	16.1	16.3	-0.25	14.1	15.4	-1.25
Jonathon Simmons	51	50	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	11	-3	16.3	16.1	0.11	14.5	15.1	-0.68
Davis Bertans	22	22	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.12	-2	21	-23	17.5	15.8	1.76	14.3	14.9	-0.60
David Lee	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	14	-9	14.7	17.0	-2.38	15.4	14.5	0.95
Bryn Forbes	27	28	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.20	-5	24	-29	17.1	15.8	1.28	14.4	14.9	-0.55
Dejounte Murray	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	18.1	15.8	2.32	13.9	14.9	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 95, OKC 121	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.76,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
DAL 78, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
DEN 77, VAN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1	96.5%