NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	78		Excitement	3.4 [1070]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +8.6%
San Antonio Spurs	94		Comeback	1.1 [861]		LVP	David Robinson (SAS): -15.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.01	0.06	9	80%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Vernon Maxwell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	70%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	27%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	18	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	-0.01	13	30%	-0.10	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.01	22	62%	0.15	4	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	8	72%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	69%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.03	-0.04	3	27%	0.00	2	-0.05	5	60%	0.02
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.19	-0.01	-0.05	12	32%	-0.10	3	-0.05	10	70%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.0	36.6	22.0	30.1	2.8	26.2	147.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +28.9%

SAS +5.7%

SAS +14.9%

DAL -0.8%

SAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	16.0	15.6	15.5	85.7	103.3	100.9
season	15.2	15.9		104.6	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.3		96.5	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.9	19.3	15.0	14.0	16.0
SAS	14.1	15.7	13.8	19.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wang Zhi-zhi	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-22	28	13.5	16.6	-3.07	20.1	14.6	5.45
Greg Buckner	21	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-23	30	14.0	16.6	-2.57	19.3	14.4	4.87
Eduardo Najera	20	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-20	24	12.7	17.0	-4.26	19.4	14.5	4.88
Vernon Maxwell	43	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-13	10	14.8	17.1	-2.25	16.3	15.0	1.38
Juwan Howard	42	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-11	6	17.8	14.5	3.28	14.9	16.2	-1.36
Shawn Bradley	59	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-9	2	16.0	16.1	-0.06	15.0	16.8	-1.88
Howard Eisley	56	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-11	6	16.3	15.6	0.69	15.7	15.6	0.10
Calvin Booth	24	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	1	-18	16.7	15.8	0.93	13.4	16.4	-3.00
Dirk Nowitzki	56	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.20	-21	5	-26	16.1	15.9	0.27	14.9	16.8	-1.91
Steve Nash	54	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	0	-16	16.9	14.7	2.22	14.7	16.8	-2.04
Michael Finley	63	61	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.17	-23	7	-30	16.7	14.5	2.20	14.7	17.6	-2.94

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Elliott	44	44	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.09	19	-3	22	14.8	16.4	-1.56	17.6	14.5	3.08
Tim Duncan	69	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-2	20	15.0	17.5	-2.41	16.3	14.9	1.44
Avery Johnson	44	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	-2	20	13.8	17.3	-3.54	17.6	14.6	2.96
Derek Anderson	30	32	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	6	4	15.0	15.9	-0.88	17.4	15.3	2.18
David Robinson	49	51	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	7	2	16.0	15.2	0.81	15.9	16.1	-0.23
Antonio Daniels	48	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	9	-2	16.1	15.1	0.97	16.1	15.9	0.26
Terry Porter	44	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	18	-20	17.8	13.6	4.16	14.6	17.4	-2.81
Malik Rose	31	30	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	12	-8	14.4	16.2	-1.83	16.2	15.9	0.27
Samaki Walker	20	15	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	16	-16	16.9	15.3	1.63	16.3	16.0	0.37
Steve Kerr	32	29	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	17	-18	16.8	15.0	1.88	14.3	16.8	-2.56
Danny Ferry	41	44	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	18	-20	16.3	15.1	1.17	13.8	18.1	-4.31
Shawnelle Scott	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	11.0	15.8	-4.78	15.0	16.1	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.95,1,1,1,1	96.7%
TOR 86, CHA 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
NOP 79, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%