NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	4.1 [959]		MVP	Scot Pollard (SAC): +8.6%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	1.1 [1028]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): -11.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	14	52%	0.00	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Paul McPherson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	19%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	17	39%	-0.04	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.00
Tony Delk	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.02	-0.02	0.11	17	58%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	14	52%	-0.02	6	-0.10	5	40%	-0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.00	6	87%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	26	54%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	70%	0.05	3	-0.05	8	50%	-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	-0.07	13	57%	0.09	7	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.0	25.3	16.4	22.6	2.6	28.0	121.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +39.4%

SAC +4.1%

PHX -3.3%

SAC +8.2%

SAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	14.7	13.7	15.5	97.0	102.9	100.9
season	14.9	14.4		97.7	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.4		97.8	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	14.7	16.0	13.7	14.7
SAC	11.4	13.0	12.8	18.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-12	17	14.0	14.7	-0.74	13.0	13.7	-0.69
Paul McPherson	22	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.39	13	-20	33	13.7	15.0	-1.26	18.2	12.4	5.82
Rodney Rogers	43	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.37	9	-16	25	14.2	15.1	-0.88	15.8	12.0	3.78
Tom Gugliotta	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-4	1	14.7	14.7	-0.06	12.9	13.8	-0.94
Corie Blount	32	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-2	-3	14.2	14.9	-0.68	13.1	13.9	-0.77
Mario Elie	31	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-2	-3	15.7	14.3	1.44	11.6	14.6	-3.00
Daniel Santiago	45	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	7	-21	15.0	14.5	0.44	12.5	14.6	-2.11
Tony Delk	70	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.28	-2	-5	3	14.3	15.7	-1.44	14.6	11.6	3.00
Shawn Marion	79	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-4	1	15.1	13.5	1.61	13.6	14.1	-0.54
Clifford Robinson	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	11	-29	15.0	14.2	0.87	12.0	16.4	-4.43
Jason Kidd	97	98	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	5	-17	14.7	14.0	0.74	13.7	13.0	0.69

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	80	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-6	19	12.7	17.0	-4.25	14.9	14.0	0.97
Chris Webber	85	84	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	4	-1	13.7	13.4	0.38	14.5	15.6	-1.05
Doug Christie	91	89	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	1	5	13.9	11.5	2.48	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Peja Stojakovic	79	77	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	6	-5	13.5	14.2	-0.71	14.6	15.1	-0.49
Scot Pollard	48	49	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	1	5	13.9	13.5	0.35	14.5	14.9	-0.35
Vlade Divac	41	41	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	-4	15	11.7	15.0	-3.28	15.4	14.2	1.22
Bobby Jackson	42	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.35	-8	15	-23	15.9	12.1	3.85	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Hedo Turkoglu	27	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	8	-9	15.1	13.2	1.91	14.2	14.9	-0.74
Lawrence Funderburke	17	17	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	3	1	13.4	13.7	-0.38	15.6	14.5	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 78, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
ATL 81, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
LAC 91, MEM 106	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%