NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	81		Excitement	3.4 [1123]		MVP	Nazr Mohammed (DET): +13.6%
Detroit Pistons	108		Comeback	1.1 [1249]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -14.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Solomon Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Matt Freije	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Shelden Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	11	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Salim Stoudamire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	12	37%	-0.03	3	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	11	27%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Bozeman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	15	51%	-0.04	4	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	16	37%	-0.04	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.01	0.04	8	86%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	12	55%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	5	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Will Blalock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.01	0.04	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	10	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.06	5	57%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	31.2	17.8	30.0	2.5	31.3	141.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +47.8%

DET +8.4%

ATL -18.3%

DET +12.3%

ATL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	18.3	15.6	15.4	96.4	125.6	104.5
season	16.1	16.8		101.1	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.7	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.3	20.7	17.9	17.7	18.3
DET	14.7	15.6	14.2	18.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Freije	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	-23	19	17.6	18.6	-1.02	16.0	15.5	0.48
Cedric Bozeman	34	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.26	-12	-15	3	18.7	18.0	0.72	14.6	16.2	-1.67
Solomon Jones	37	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.26	-17	-10	-7	18.3	18.3	-0.02	16.4	15.0	1.42
Lorenzen Wright	45	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-20	13	18.9	17.6	1.34	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Marvin Williams	52	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-16	5	18.1	18.7	-0.61	15.9	15.1	0.76
Royal Ivey	58	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.19	-17	-10	-7	18.1	18.7	-0.61	15.5	15.8	-0.28
Salim Stoudamire	62	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	-10	-7	17.5	20.5	-2.91	16.6	12.6	4.05
Joe Johnson	60	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.27	-25	-2	-23	18.6	17.5	1.13	14.7	17.8	-3.15
Shelden Williams	49	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.27	-25	-2	-23	18.8	17.6	1.27	15.4	15.9	-0.58

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	53	50	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.24	25	2	23	14.8	17.0	-2.21	19.0	17.3	1.66
Nazr Mohammed	42	40	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.19	22	5	17	14.2	16.9	-2.72	19.5	17.2	2.22
Rasheed Wallace	46	44	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.18	21	6	15	14.4	17.0	-2.66	19.2	17.3	1.93
Richard Hamilton	46	47	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.19	20	7	13	14.7	16.6	-1.95	17.6	19.2	-1.57
Tayshaun Prince	46	46	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.29	23	4	19	14.5	16.9	-2.42	17.8	18.9	-1.12
Carlos Delfino	40	38	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	23	-19	16.9	14.5	2.42	18.9	17.8	1.12
Ronald Murray	40	37	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	20	-13	16.6	14.7	1.95	19.2	17.6	1.57
Antonio McDyess	28	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	22	-17	17.5	14.7	2.86	18.0	18.5	-0.47
Jason Maxiell	35	36	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	24	-21	16.5	15.0	1.53	17.6	18.8	-1.17
Dale Davis	9	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	25	-23	18.6	15.3	3.30	15.5	18.6	-3.11
Will Blalock	33	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	25	-23	17.0	14.8	2.21	17.3	19.0	-1.66
Ronald Dupree	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	15.8	15.6	0.27	15.5	18.7	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
LAC 91, MEM 106	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
PHX 83, DAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%