NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	95		Excitement	3.7 [1104]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +10.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	121		Comeback	1.4 [1251]		LVP	Ryan Anderson (NOP): -10.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.01	0.03	14	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	12	58%	-0.04
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	36%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	20	57%	0.10	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	12	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	14	68%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	17	68%	0.15	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	15	55%	0.09	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	75%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	55%	0.00	1	0.00	8	62%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	3.4	32.2	16.8	26.4	3.4	29.5	134.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +25.9%

OKC +10.4%

OKC +24.3%

NOP -10.4%

NOP -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	OKC	NBA	NOP	OKC	NBA
this game	13.9	14.9	14.9	95.0	121.0	105.1
season	14.3	14.4		104.3	111.5
opponent	15.1	15.0		104.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.9	14.6	14.3	15.0	13.9
OKC	15.4	14.8	15.7	13.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	19	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-27	28	13.9	13.9	0.10	14.3	15.1	-0.82
Alexis Ajinca	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.18	-11	-15	4	15.0	13.2	1.81	13.3	15.9	-2.58
Omer Asik	40	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-20	14	13.7	14.0	-0.24	15.3	14.7	0.58
Norris Cole	58	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	-16	6	13.6	14.2	-0.63	14.8	15.1	-0.33
Alonzo Gee	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.32	-19	-7	-12	14.2	13.1	1.07	14.3	16.3	-1.92
Toney Douglas	52	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.32	-21	-5	-16	14.4	13.3	1.03	14.1	15.8	-1.66
Anthony Davis	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-13	0	13.2	15.1	-1.88	15.9	13.3	2.58
Dante Cunningham	57	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-15	4	13.3	14.6	-1.29	15.6	14.1	1.46
Ryan Anderson	42	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.31	-23	-3	-20	14.0	13.8	0.27	14.9	14.9	-0.04
Jrue Holiday	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.06	-17	-9	-8	13.8	13.9	-0.07	15.8	13.4	2.36

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	59	59	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	7	12	14.9	15.0	-0.08	14.4	13.1	1.35
Enes Kanter	53	54	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.21	21	5	16	14.6	15.3	-0.77	15.2	12.3	2.94
Serge Ibaka	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	12	2	16.0	13.1	2.85	12.7	15.8	-3.12
Kevin Durant	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	12	2	16.0	13.1	2.85	12.7	15.8	-3.12
Dion Waiters	42	43	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	15	-4	15.1	14.8	0.24	13.8	13.9	-0.18
Kyle Singler	46	45	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.28	17	9	8	14.0	15.7	-1.68	14.6	13.3	1.33
Steven Adams	41	43	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.00	5	21	-16	15.6	14.4	1.19	13.2	14.4	-1.24
Cameron Payne	51	51	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.19	10	16	-6	15.4	14.4	0.98	13.0	14.8	-1.82
Nick Collison	25	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	21	-16	13.7	15.3	-1.61	18.0	12.6	5.49
Anthony Morrow	40	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.14	7	19	-12	13.6	15.8	-2.22	15.3	12.9	2.40
Steve Novak	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	23	-20	12.4	15.1	-2.69	8.3	14.2	-5.89
Mitch McGary	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	22	-18	12.1	15.2	-3.14	10.2	14.3	-4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.76,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 79, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
WAS 88, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
DEN 77, VAN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1	96.2%