inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 74 Excitement3.5 [1128] MVPSam Cassell (MIN): +8.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves 109 Comeback1.2 [1102] LVPJared Jeffries (WAS): -7.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juan Dixon0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.02-0.04844%0.0310.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.041100%0.0030.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Blake-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07540%-0.003-0.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01638%-0.0100.001100%0.01
Anthony Peeler-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jarvis Hayes-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.031229%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Gilbert Arenas-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.010.031368%0.045-0.085100%0.02
Antawn Jamison-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.011040%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kwame Brown-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.01-0.05531%-0.032-0.03650%-0.01
Larry Hughes-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.021154%-0.023-0.05250%-0.01
Jared Jeffries-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.010.00425%-0.032-0.0500%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Cassell0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.140.010.071185%0.101-0.024100%0.00
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.020.021568%0.092-0.014100%0.01
Eddie Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00-0.03844%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.000.031260%0.0300.006100%0.02
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01650%0.0200.002100%0.00
Michael Olowokandi0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.02757%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ervin Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trenton Hassell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.04237%-0.021-0.00475%-0.00
Latrell Sprewell0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.01-0.031534%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.000.03850%-0.043-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game510.32.425.415.627.31.827.2610.0
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +22.6%
WAS -0.3%
MIN +10.4%
MIN +16.3%
MIN +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMINNBAWASMINNBA
this game15.515.515.579.6117.2104.0
season14.715.8104.7106.2
opponent15.915.5104.6105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.417.714.413.715.5
MIN14.916.615.015.615.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Samaki Walker11120.00-0.500.500.32-11-241313.915.7-1.7614.215.7-1.44
Steve Blake2425-0.01-0.490.470.45-16-19313.716.1-2.3615.615.50.18
Anthony Peeler1110-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-312719.514.94.5317.215.31.90
Juan Dixon2424-0.10-0.400.300.34-15-20516.715.01.6816.415.21.23
Michael Ruffin3738-0.12-0.380.260.35-16-19315.615.40.1716.115.10.97
Jared Jeffries3334-0.16-0.340.17-0.02-5-302516.015.20.7915.815.30.50
Brendan Haywood3132-0.22-0.280.060.04-9-261716.015.20.7616.015.20.75
Kwame Brown5452-0.23-0.270.030.53-26-9-1715.215.9-0.7115.515.5-0.06
Jarvis Hayes4947-0.34-0.16-0.170.22-19-16-315.515.50.0115.615.40.18
Larry Hughes5656-0.38-0.12-0.270.06-15-20515.415.6-0.2214.816.6-1.81
Gilbert Arenas7171-0.41-0.09-0.320.18-20-15-515.116.7-1.6015.515.6-0.11
Antawn Jamison6464-0.43-0.07-0.350.13-19-16-315.415.6-0.1814.916.8-1.82

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wally Szczerbiak75760.470.040.43-0.392962315.216.9-1.7815.515.30.21
Kevin Garnett65650.460.040.41-0.162114715.216.3-1.1715.615.10.46
Michael Olowokandi50480.340.160.19-0.131619-315.515.5-0.0115.016.0-1.00
Fred Hoiberg53540.310.190.11-0.633232915.215.9-0.6515.814.90.88
Eddie Griffin41410.210.29-0.09-0.291718-115.415.6-0.1215.815.20.66
Anthony Carter41400.200.30-0.09-0.271619-314.916.0-1.0814.016.5-2.52
Latrell Sprewell46450.190.31-0.11-0.07926-1716.614.52.1014.716.2-1.50
Troy Hudson10100.180.32-0.14-0.03728-2119.015.13.9219.315.04.30
Sam Cassell42430.120.38-0.26-0.231223-1115.315.7-0.4415.915.10.83
Mark Madsen30310.050.45-0.41-0.421619-316.415.11.2715.415.5-0.16
Trenton Hassell990.030.47-0.430.06-136-3715.015.6-0.5617.415.22.19
Ervin Johnson33-0.050.55-0.61-0.08134-3314.315.5-1.2114.315.5-1.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 90, CLE 980.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,196.8%
CHI 81, CHH 1100.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
ATL 93, MIL 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%