NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	93		Excitement	3.8 [1031]		MVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): +16.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	120		Comeback	1.3 [1051]		LVP	Darvin Ham (ATL): -6.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.16	-0.01	0.05	11	86%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	13	69%	0.11	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Dion Glover	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	59%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Dan Dickau	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.08	20	50%	0.05	4	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Ira Newble	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.02	0.01	16	78%	0.19	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.03	-0.04	16	56%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	17	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	10	45%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	18	60%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	26.1	15.5	23.4	2.4	27.6	119.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +40.9%

ATL -10.4%

MIL +10.7%

MIL +5.3%

MIL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.3	15.5	102.2	130.4	101.6
season	15.1	15.4		99.5	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.7		106.5	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.1	17.0	16.5	15.0	16.2
MIL	14.5	15.0	17.0	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Williams	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-23	19	14.2	16.3	-2.13	15.7	15.3	0.36
Jermaine Jackson	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-20	13	17.4	16.0	1.43	14.4	15.4	-0.98
Nazr Mohammed	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-23	19	13.9	16.6	-2.77	14.3	15.5	-1.23
Dion Glover	54	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-26	25	15.8	16.7	-0.92	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Theo Ratliff	51	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-25	23	16.5	15.7	0.72	15.2	15.4	-0.19
Dan Dickau	24	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.26	-16	-11	-5	15.8	16.3	-0.49	15.5	15.3	0.24
Jason Terry	67	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-16	5	16.3	15.8	0.49	15.2	15.7	-0.54
Darvin Ham	16	18	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.30	-21	-6	-15	17.1	16.0	1.10	15.3	15.3	-0.06
Ira Newble	25	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.05	-13	-14	1	15.7	16.3	-0.60	16.2	15.0	1.22
Alan Henderson	40	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.41	-25	-2	-23	15.7	16.5	-0.72	15.4	15.2	0.19
Glenn Robinson	76	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-13	-1	16.4	15.1	1.30	14.9	17.1	-2.18
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	71	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.13	-17	-10	-7	16.7	14.3	2.38	15.8	13.6	2.21

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	59	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	15	-3	15.0	15.9	-0.91	15.6	17.3	-1.67
Gary Payton	66	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.16	19	8	11	15.6	14.7	0.88	17.2	13.5	3.66
Desmond Mason	59	59	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.23	19	8	11	14.4	17.0	-2.56	16.8	15.0	1.78
Tim Thomas	72	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	10	7	15.1	16.0	-0.92	16.3	15.5	0.86
Anthony Mason	50	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.01	10	17	-7	15.6	15.0	0.51	16.9	15.3	1.57
Ervin Johnson	36	34	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.17	15	12	3	16.2	14.7	1.52	16.2	16.1	0.04
Michael Redd	50	47	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.20	16	11	5	16.0	14.5	1.43	14.9	17.5	-2.61
Toni Kukoc	37	37	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.13	12	15	-3	15.8	15.0	0.72	15.5	16.6	-1.08
Marcus Haislip	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	23	-19	14.3	15.5	-1.23	13.9	16.6	-2.77
Jamal Sampson	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	23	-19	15.7	15.3	0.36	14.2	16.3	-2.13
Dan Gadzuric	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	20	-13	14.4	15.4	-0.98	17.4	16.0	1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 74, MIN 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
NYK 90, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	96.0%
BOS 115, LAC 140	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.8,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%