inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 81 Excitement3.6 [654] MVPBrad Miller (CHH): +13.4%
Charlotte Hornets 110 Comeback1.1 [563] LVPRandy Brown (CHI): -9.4%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Bryant0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.09-0.000.041267%0.0500.0000%0.00
Bill Wennington0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kornel David0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.03-0.00-0.04654%0.042-0.031100%0.00
Dickey Simpkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.011456%0.021-0.02875%-0.01
Cory Carr-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.04333%-0.0320.0000%0.00
Charles R. Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.000.02550%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Keith Booth-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01545%-0.012-0.031100%0.00
Rusty LaRue-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.00617%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Brent Barry-0.060,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.02-0.051636%-0.041-0.02450%-0.01
Randy Brown-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.12-0.00-0.03933%-0.034-0.0700%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.210.020.099100%0.1300.007100%0.02
David Wesley0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.01-0.011070%0.1100.003100%0.01
Bobby Phills0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.01387%0.072-0.03250%-0.01
Eddie Jones0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.02-0.021070%0.105-0.0800%0.00
Chuck Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02736%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eldridge Recasner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.02-0.00-0.02455%0.011-0.01367%-0.01
Corey Beck0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05033%0.0000.00633%0.00
Derrick Coleman0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.01850%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Chucky Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02536%-0.0310.0010%-0.01
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.02-0.000.061064%0.002-0.052100%0.00
Elden Campbell0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.031133%-0.032-0.0520%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.025.215.723.61.828.3120.3
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +44.2%
CHI -0.1%
CHH +8.7%
CHI -4.7%
CHH +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHICHHNBACHICHHNBA
this game15.716.315.890.0122.299.6
season16.715.790.699.2
opponent15.515.499.4101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.717.215.516.515.7
CHH16.314.119.715.516.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cory Carr2019-0.08-0.420.330.06-5-241917.815.12.6914.716.7-2.03
Bill Wennington1918-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-241915.715.7-0.0319.315.53.81
Charles R. Jones4442-0.18-0.320.140.29-16-13-316.514.91.5916.616.00.57
Randy Brown4646-0.19-0.310.130.28-16-13-315.416.1-0.7018.114.43.63
Keith Booth3334-0.24-0.260.020.11-12-17515.715.7-0.0715.017.1-2.02
Kornel David4547-0.28-0.22-0.060.22-17-12-515.815.70.0915.017.7-2.70
Rusty LaRue3435-0.29-0.21-0.090.12-14-15115.016.1-1.1414.217.6-3.42
Mark Bryant7170-0.31-0.19-0.110.13-15-14-115.516.5-1.0317.013.83.14
Dickey Simpkins7173-0.38-0.12-0.270.38-26-3-2315.616.1-0.4315.718.8-3.12
Brent Barry6766-0.39-0.11-0.280.17-19-10-915.516.4-0.9117.114.12.95

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones56550.330.170.160.041019-917.314.62.6914.218.1-3.93
Derrick Coleman59590.300.200.09-0.261910916.416.10.2415.416.4-1.03
Eldridge Recasner38370.280.220.06-0.422451914.917.3-2.4116.715.01.64
Chucky Brown37370.270.230.03-0.382271514.917.2-2.2816.715.01.64
Brad Miller36350.260.240.01-0.362181314.017.8-3.8617.514.53.00
Bobby Phills33320.240.26-0.02-0.051019-915.716.6-0.8913.417.0-3.58
Elden Campbell51520.230.27-0.040.11425-2117.714.43.3614.517.4-2.96
David Wesley52530.220.28-0.060.07524-1917.314.92.4115.016.7-1.64
Chuck Person42430.210.29-0.080.04623-1717.815.02.8516.714.81.93
Ricky Davis34350.170.33-0.16-0.391910914.617.3-2.6918.114.23.93
Corey Beck12120.000.50-0.50-0.15524-1917.016.20.8217.115.51.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 74, MIN 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
OKC 93, DEN 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,196.2%
LAC 91, MEM 1060.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%