inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 93 Excitement4.1 [977] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +13.5%
Denver Nuggets 102 Comeback1.3 [1197] LVPNenad Krstic (OKC): -9.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Collison0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.010.02870%0.0800.004100%0.01
Kevin Durant0.000,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.032060%0.095-0.081392%0.02
DJ White-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.01855%0.032-0.05450%-0.02
Shaun Livingston-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
James Harden-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01756%0.014-0.052100%0.01
Serge Ibaka-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Green-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.03942%-0.041-0.011100%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.00-0.011540%-0.064-0.04580%0.00
Nenad Krstic-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.0158%-0.081-0.02250%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.01-0.022262%0.183-0.046100%0.02
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.000.02575%0.0900.001090%0.03
Nene0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.001152%0.051-0.02333%-0.02
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.021450%0.023-0.031080%-0.02
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01657%0.034-0.059100%0.02
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01337%-0.012-0.03250%-0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01721%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Kenyon Martin0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.140.01-0.071225%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.431.315.428.62.541.2146.8
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +23.9%
DEN +6.0%
DEN +8.4%
DEN +8.0%
DEN +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDENNBAOKCDENNBA
this game13.715.715.394.9104.1106.0
season15.014.4106.2110.3
opponent15.515.5106.4103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.117.212.512.213.7
DEN14.614.718.814.915.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DJ White1718-0.02-0.480.47-0.134-131712.613.9-1.3414.915.9-0.92
Shaun Livingston2221-0.11-0.390.29-0.172-111313.613.7-0.0714.116.1-1.97
Nenad Krstic3637-0.19-0.310.12-0.02-6-3-315.512.62.8516.415.31.14
James Harden5252-0.21-0.290.09-0.241-101112.614.9-2.3014.716.8-2.09
Nick Collison5757-0.22-0.280.06-0.220-9912.815.0-2.2015.316.2-0.95
Thabo Sefolosha4646-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.00-101-1114.912.62.3016.814.72.09
Serge Ibaka3028-0.33-0.17-0.160.08-145-1914.213.50.7814.416.2-1.82
Kevin Durant7980-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.21-4-5113.016.6-3.6416.313.13.16
Russell Westbrook7677-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.07-112-1313.713.60.0716.114.11.97
Jeff Green7574-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.21-7-2-514.311.72.6115.715.7-0.02

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Andersen67660.420.080.350.1981714.518.2-3.6614.212.71.45
Carmelo Anthony79790.400.100.300.2363315.914.81.0612.917.2-4.30
Kenyon Martin77770.350.150.200.1763316.413.33.0612.617.6-5.00
J.R. Smith67670.340.160.180.2536-314.817.7-2.9514.012.91.11
Chauncey Billups77770.300.200.110.2718-716.313.52.7612.916.5-3.54
Nene52520.240.26-0.020.1245-116.215.11.1014.912.32.62
Arron Afflalo41420.220.28-0.06-0.0490917.014.72.3314.213.30.87
Ty Lawson30300.220.28-0.06-0.0181713.916.5-2.6315.912.73.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 102, WAS 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.7%
NJN 109, ORL 1210.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.6%
SAS 86, SAC 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%