NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	86		Excitement	4.1 [987]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +5.3%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.2 [1028]		LVP	Charles Smith (SAS): -10.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	47%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	41%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	13	41%	-0.06	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	24	46%	-0.01	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Charles Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	35%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	83%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	21	43%	-0.01	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	19	55%	0.07	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	14	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	47%	-0.03	3	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	579.7	1.7	28.2	16.4	-696.7	1.5	25.5	-43.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +24.4%

SAS -0.8%

SAC +7.2%

SAC +19.2%

SAS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	13.6	15.6	86.9	100.0	102.3
season	15.8	14.2		104.3	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.6	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.7	16.5	15.8	13.9	15.5
SAC	13.1	12.4	13.5	15.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amal McCaskill	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	14.0	15.5	-1.55	14.2	13.6	0.63
Stephen Jackson	26	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-16	19	14.7	15.8	-1.13	13.7	13.6	0.15
Cherokee Parks	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-11	9	15.6	15.5	0.10	11.3	14.0	-2.70
Terry Porter	8	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-9	5	18.0	15.3	2.74	16.4	13.4	3.04
Charles Smith	57	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-12	11	14.5	16.8	-2.26	13.8	13.3	0.47
David Robinson	62	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-15	17	15.2	16.0	-0.87	15.1	11.2	3.90
Antonio Daniels	44	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	16.5	14.7	1.83	14.1	13.2	0.86
Steven Smith	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	1	-15	15.7	15.1	0.67	13.4	13.9	-0.49
Tim Duncan	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	2	-17	15.8	14.5	1.27	13.1	15.5	-2.38
Tony Parker	91	92	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-4	-5	15.3	18.0	-2.74	13.4	16.4	-3.04
Malik Rose	49	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	3	-19	15.9	15.1	0.78	12.7	14.5	-1.78

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	87	87	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	3	7	13.4	14.8	-1.40	15.4	16.2	-0.78
Scot Pollard	48	49	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	4	5	13.9	13.3	0.64	16.2	14.8	1.34
Doug Christie	71	72	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	4	5	13.9	12.7	1.19	15.5	15.5	-0.05
Peja Stojakovic	73	73	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	5	3	12.8	15.8	-2.99	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	36	35	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	2	9	14.6	13.0	1.54	15.9	15.3	0.62
Mike Bibby	71	72	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	5	3	13.2	14.6	-1.45	15.2	16.3	-1.06
Vlade Divac	57	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	4	5	13.7	13.4	0.31	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Bobby Jackson	36	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	8	-3	14.2	13.3	0.92	16.0	15.2	0.87
Lawrence Funderburke	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	12.2	13.7	-1.53	13.0	15.6	-2.65
Gerald Wallace	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	14.2	13.6	0.63	14.0	15.5	-1.55
Mateen Cleaves	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	14.2	13.6	0.63	14.0	15.5	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 79, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
OKC 93, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
WAS 85, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%