NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	79		Excitement	3.7 [1090]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): +8.8%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	1.4 [1033]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -27.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	8	89%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	57%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	8	44%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	22%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	14	45%	-0.02	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.27	-0.03	-0.03	22	28%	-0.15	6	-0.13	6	67%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	14	65%	0.12	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	17	54%	0.08	4	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	22%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	10	39%	-0.02	2	-0.03	8	25%	-0.04
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	28.4	16.5	27.3	2.4	24.4	128.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +43.0%

GSW +3.5%

CLE -8.3%

GSW +11.8%

CLE -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	16.4	14.0	15.6	83.2	104.2	104.4
season	16.2	14.8		105.6	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.0	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.5	17.2	16.5	16.1	16.4
GSW	14.5	11.1	13.5	17.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	20	19	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-21	22	15.4	16.6	-1.21	15.8	13.5	2.36
Luke Jackson	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-18	16	13.9	16.7	-2.79	16.8	13.5	3.29
Mike Wilks	17	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-18	16	13.9	16.9	-2.94	15.0	13.7	1.25
Alan Henderson	25	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-15	10	14.8	16.9	-2.17	14.3	13.8	0.49
Donyell Marshall	44	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-16	12	16.0	16.6	-0.62	14.0	13.9	0.08
Ira Newble	21	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.16	-12	-8	-4	17.2	16.1	1.07	12.9	14.3	-1.41
Drew Gooden	45	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	-7	-6	16.1	16.6	-0.43	13.6	14.3	-0.64
Sasha Pavlovic	44	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-14	8	16.9	15.9	1.07	13.2	14.7	-1.52
Damon Jones	63	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-10	0	15.9	17.2	-1.25	14.1	13.6	0.54
LeBron James	69	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	-11	2	17.0	14.6	2.40	14.2	13.3	0.87
Eric Snow	66	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	-2	-16	16.7	15.6	1.06	14.0	13.8	0.23
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	49	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.16	-20	0	-20	17.8	14.8	3.01	12.8	15.2	-2.41

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	82	84	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	6	8	13.8	15.0	-1.21	16.4	16.4	-0.01
Derek Fisher	85	84	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	1	18	14.2	11.7	2.52	15.6	21.9	-6.28
Adonal Foyle	52	53	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.12	18	2	16	13.6	14.4	-0.76	17.3	15.2	2.09
Jason Richardson	77	76	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	10	0	13.9	14.0	-0.05	16.7	14.9	1.83
Troy Murphy	72	73	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	11	-2	14.4	12.6	1.78	16.6	15.5	1.12
Mickael Pietrus	49	49	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	11	-2	13.6	14.3	-0.76	17.1	15.6	1.49
Ike Diogu	25	24	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.17	13	7	6	12.3	14.5	-2.22	16.1	16.5	-0.37
Andris Biedrins	27	26	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	18	-16	13.9	14.0	-0.04	14.5	17.1	-2.61
Zarko Cabarkapa	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	20.3	13.7	6.58	14.0	16.4	-2.43
Monta Ellis	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	20.3	13.7	6.58	14.0	16.4	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CLE 78, HOU 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.69,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
TOR 79, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%