NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	79		Excitement	3.2 [1104]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +10.7%
New York Knicks	108		Comeback	1.4 [1056]		LVP	Marcus Camby (TOR): -11.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	10	48%	0.03	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.01
Doug Christie	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	10	64%	0.07	5	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
John Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	58%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	9	67%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	12	39%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	11	38%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	9	20%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	20	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	6	38%	0.04	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	13	68%	0.01	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Anthony Bowie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herb Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	40%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	14	47%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	11	18%	-0.09	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	23.6	16.0	24.2	2.5	27.3	119.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.4%

NYK +1.8%

NYK +18.3%

NYK +2.4%

NYK +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.6	81.4	113.7	102.5
season	15.5	15.7		98.7	100.4
opponent	16.3	14.8		98.6	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.0	17.0	16.4	14.6	15.2
NYK	15.2	14.3	12.4	17.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	44	42	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.07	-2	-27	25	15.0	15.4	-0.48	17.0	13.0	3.98
John Thomas	35	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-26	23	15.3	15.2	0.06	16.1	14.1	2.01
Alvin Williams	26	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	-20	11	15.8	15.0	0.76	14.1	15.0	-0.95
Dee Brown	49	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-21	13	15.3	15.1	0.14	15.7	13.9	1.87
Gary Trent	41	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.40	-21	-8	-13	15.2	15.2	0.01	13.7	15.5	-1.87
Tracy McGrady	56	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-18	7	15.1	15.4	-0.26	15.2	14.2	0.95
John Wallace	45	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	-12	-5	15.3	15.2	0.09	14.2	15.3	-1.13
Doug Christie	54	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.23	-20	-9	-11	14.4	16.2	-1.78	14.4	15.3	-0.95
Chauncey Billups	61	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.39	-28	-1	-27	15.6	14.5	1.10	13.6	16.8	-3.25
Marcus Camby	51	52	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.29	-27	-2	-25	15.8	14.6	1.16	13.2	16.7	-3.42

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	48	50	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	12	5	15.7	13.8	1.88	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Larry Johnson	61	61	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.40	28	1	27	14.0	16.1	-2.04	16.0	13.9	2.07
John Starks	30	30	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	14	1	13.9	15.2	-1.28	16.0	14.9	1.09
Allan Houston	66	67	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.30	22	7	15	14.2	16.0	-1.81	15.6	14.3	1.33
Charles Oakley	66	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.35	22	7	15	14.8	14.8	-0.02	14.8	16.2	-1.46
Chris Mills	71	73	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.36	22	7	15	14.7	14.9	-0.13	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Buck Williams	44	45	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	18	-7	15.4	14.2	1.17	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Charlie Ward	57	59	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.19	9	20	-11	14.6	15.1	-0.50	14.5	16.4	-1.89
Anthony Bowie	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	16.1	14.5	1.60	15.3	15.2	0.08
Herb Williams	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	32	-35	16.4	14.4	2.05	15.4	15.2	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 94, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DEN 81, SEA 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CLE 84, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%