NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	3.8 [1076]		MVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (WAS): +18.2%
Washington Wizards	109		Comeback	1.2 [835]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -6.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	4	64%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	20	54%	0.05	5	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	17	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Redick	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	10	30%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.00	0.06	12	53%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.01	11	73%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	16	72%	0.14	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.02	-0.04	14	77%	0.16	7	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	3	87%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	57%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	11	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	30.3	14.8	26.5	3.3	33.3	138.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +52.2%

PHI -1.4%

PHI -2.4%

WAS +2.8%

PHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.2	15.8	14.7	96.9	114.7	107.5
season	13.9	14.8		108.1	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		107.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.9	14.0	14.9	15.5	14.2
WAS	14.3	15.4	15.8	18.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richaun Holmes	22	23	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.32	12	-27	39	12.5	14.7	-2.25	17.1	15.3	1.78
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-15	15	16.5	14.2	2.31	24.0	15.5	8.49
Amir Johnson	26	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-8	1	14.5	14.1	0.41	13.3	16.6	-3.21
Trevor Booker	17	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-8	1	14.4	14.2	0.21	14.8	16.0	-1.24
Marco Belinelli	55	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-18	21	13.7	14.9	-1.18	15.4	16.3	-0.95
Robert Covington	57	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-2	-11	15.4	12.5	2.87	17.1	13.9	3.25
T.J. McConnell	43	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-2	-11	13.8	14.6	-0.80	14.6	16.8	-2.26
Dario Saric	58	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-4	-7	14.8	13.4	1.43	16.8	14.3	2.51
Ben Simmons	73	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-6	-3	14.5	13.5	0.98	16.3	14.3	1.99
Joel Embiid	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-6	-3	14.0	14.7	-0.63	15.9	15.6	0.33
JJ Redick	67	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.14	-21	6	-27	13.7	15.4	-1.68	14.5	18.3	-3.87

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Oubre Jr.	65	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	12	-9	15.4	16.5	-1.05	13.2	16.2	-3.00
Otto Porter Jr.	59	62	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.12	17	-2	19	17.0	13.8	3.18	15.0	12.9	2.11
Bradley Beal	71	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	3	9	16.3	14.3	1.93	14.4	13.6	0.82
Tomas Satoransky	64	68	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	2	11	15.3	16.8	-1.53	14.0	14.7	-0.69
Markieff Morris	48	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	2	11	16.2	15.3	0.91	16.2	12.1	4.13
Ian Mahinmi	35	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	9	-3	15.3	16.0	-0.74	13.3	14.8	-1.49
Tim Frazier	24	23	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	9	-3	15.5	15.9	-0.37	13.6	14.4	-0.82
Jodie Meeks	24	23	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	12	-9	14.3	16.3	-1.93	13.6	14.4	-0.82
Marcin Gortat	52	52	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	12	-9	16.8	14.5	2.32	14.7	13.7	1.02
Mike Scott	33	32	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	16	-17	13.6	16.9	-3.28	12.8	14.9	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, LAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
TOR 79, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
GSW 75, MEM 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%