NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	75		Excitement	3.2 [1173]		MVP	Jake Tsakalidis (MEM): +6.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	100		Comeback	1.3 [1058]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -13.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.02	0.08	11	77%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	56%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	36%	-0.03	2	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	7	28%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	10	54%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	8	41%	-0.04	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	15	28%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	69%	0.06	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.05	15	63%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	5	70%	0.06	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	47%	-0.01	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	11	42%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.6	31.4	16.7	25.5	2.5	26.5	127.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +33.3%

MEM +6.9%

GSW -7.6%

MEM +16.5%

MEM +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	15.4	16.3	15.6	82.4	109.9	104.4
season	14.8	17.1		102.9	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.0	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.6	14.8	15.4	15.8	15.4
MEM	15.0	14.6	20.6	15.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	47	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.21	-12	-13	1	15.7	15.1	0.55	15.7	16.8	-1.11
Monta Ellis	27	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-14	3	16.0	15.2	0.81	15.4	16.7	-1.32
Will Bynum	20	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.26	-15	-10	-5	13.8	15.8	-1.98	12.8	17.3	-4.48
Zarko Cabarkapa	28	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.20	-14	-11	-3	16.0	15.1	0.87	15.7	16.5	-0.77
Mickael Pietrus	40	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.15	-13	-12	-1	15.5	15.3	0.28	16.3	16.2	0.03
Adonal Foyle	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-17	9	14.4	16.5	-2.12	16.4	16.1	0.30
Mike Dunleavy	56	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-14	3	15.3	15.6	-0.33	16.3	16.1	0.23
Derek Fisher	66	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-14	3	15.9	14.1	1.76	17.3	13.7	3.58
Jason Richardson	64	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-11	-3	15.2	16.0	-0.81	16.7	15.4	1.32
Troy Murphy	59	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-9	-7	15.7	14.8	0.90	16.9	15.3	1.57

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	63	67	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.24	20	5	15	16.8	15.0	1.81	15.4	15.4	0.03
Pau Gasol	58	60	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	12	1	16.9	15.2	1.68	15.0	16.1	-1.01
Lorenzen Wright	42	43	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	13	-1	16.7	15.9	0.81	15.7	15.1	0.66
Chucky Atkins	59	58	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	13	-1	16.7	15.3	1.40	14.7	16.6	-1.85
Mike Miller	34	35	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	18	-11	17.4	15.6	1.76	16.0	15.0	0.94
Bobby Jackson	40	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.20	15	10	5	15.3	17.0	-1.70	16.4	14.6	1.84
Jake Tsakalidis	43	42	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.15	13	12	1	16.2	16.3	-0.17	15.5	15.3	0.11
Shane Battier	48	48	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	16	-7	17.5	14.8	2.73	15.6	15.2	0.44
Dahntay Jones	33	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	15	-5	14.8	17.1	-2.25	15.9	15.1	0.80
Brian Cardinal	16	14	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	18	-11	14.2	16.7	-2.51	15.0	15.5	-0.47
Antonio Burks	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	22	-19	9.5	16.7	-7.23	13.2	15.6	-2.39
Hakim Warrick	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	21	-17	12.1	16.9	-4.87	13.2	15.7	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 83, ATL 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
GSW 96, ATL 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
CLE 99, LAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%