NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	83		Excitement	3.0 [1153]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (PHI): +3.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	1.2 [1058]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): -9.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	19	52%	-0.01	3	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Mehmet Okur	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.01	0.06	13	57%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.03	10	77%	0.07	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	82%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	48%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	7	58%	0.03	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	23	46%	-0.03	5	-0.06	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.5	33.4	18.4	28.4	2.8	36.4	149.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +24.6%

PHI +7.3%

PHI +23.4%

DET -6.3%

PHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	17.0	16.2	15.5	94.3	109.4	101.6
season	16.8	15.3		101.7	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.9	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.2	20.2	16.4	13.9	17.0
PHI	16.8	15.8	14.9	17.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	9	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-13	16	11.8	17.6	-5.87	14.8	16.4	-1.63
Zeljko Rebraca	16	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-17	24	12.7	18.0	-5.33	17.0	16.0	0.96
Corliss Williamson	15	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-12	14	16.2	17.2	-1.02	17.0	16.1	0.94
Jon Barry	27	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-12	14	15.9	17.6	-1.72	17.4	15.7	1.77
Mehmet Okur	45	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-7	4	16.5	17.6	-1.09	17.1	15.4	1.69
Tayshaun Prince	57	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-12	14	16.2	18.6	-2.37	16.1	16.6	-0.51
Michael Curry	26	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	3	-16	18.9	16.3	2.67	16.2	16.2	-0.04
Clifford Robinson	44	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	4	-18	19.2	14.9	4.23	15.8	16.7	-0.85
Ben Wallace	67	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	2	-14	17.7	14.8	2.94	16.1	16.5	-0.36
Richard Hamilton	68	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	0	-10	17.2	16.5	0.64	16.0	16.9	-0.85
Chucky Atkins	66	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	4	-18	17.6	15.5	2.12	15.7	17.6	-1.88

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	79	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-3	16	16.0	19.2	-3.15	17.2	15.0	2.20
Keith Van Horn	63	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.15	21	-11	32	16.3	16.0	0.26	17.8	14.9	2.95
Kenny Thomas	50	50	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.04	16	-6	22	16.3	16.2	0.06	19.6	13.7	5.92
Eric Snow	58	57	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.09	15	-5	20	15.9	17.0	-1.17	17.5	16.2	1.32
Derrick Coleman	64	65	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	3	4	17.2	13.3	3.92	17.8	14.8	3.06
Aaron McKie	41	45	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.17	1	9	-8	16.6	15.9	0.72	15.1	19.1	-4.05
Tyrone Hill	41	44	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.33	-6	16	-22	14.8	17.6	-2.81	15.0	19.1	-4.09
Greg Buckner	22	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.31	-8	18	-26	16.6	16.1	0.48	15.5	17.6	-2.13
Monty Williams	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	21.5	16.1	5.39	13.7	17.2	-3.50
John Salmons	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	17.3	16.2	1.14	9.7	17.3	-7.64
Brian Skinner	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	13.5	16.3	-2.80	7.0	17.3	-10.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 80, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
IND 72, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
POR 79, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%