NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	80		Excitement	3.2 [1124]		MVP	Doug Christie (SAC): +9.2%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.3 [1092]		LVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): -13.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kwame Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	7	43%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	10	43%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	9	22%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	11	33%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	7	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	8	29%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	15	49%	-0.06	2	-0.01	9	89%	0.01
Michael Jordan	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	19	30%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	73%	0.10	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	19	51%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	12	38%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	0.03	13	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	3.2	25.3	15.8	25.4	2.5	28.6	122.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +43.2%

SAC +2.5%

SAC +6.1%

WAS -1.4%

WAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAC	NBA	WAS	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	13.5	15.5	81.6	101.0	101.6
season	16.5	14.0		100.9	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.5		98.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.3	18.0	15.3	12.5	15.9
SAC	13.0	13.3	12.9	14.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-19	19	12.4	16.9	-4.50	13.2	13.6	-0.40
Etan Thomas	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-18	17	14.0	17.3	-3.26	14.3	12.9	1.46
Christian Laettner	49	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-8	-3	16.7	15.1	1.67	13.0	13.9	-0.90
Juan Dixon	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-13	7	14.3	17.4	-3.07	13.7	13.3	0.47
Kwame Brown	34	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.19	-14	-5	-9	16.0	15.8	0.20	13.2	13.7	-0.50
Brendan Haywood	58	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-14	9	15.6	16.3	-0.68	13.6	13.3	0.37
Bryon Russell	53	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-14	9	17.6	13.9	3.71	13.9	13.0	0.81
Tyronn Lue	50	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-6	-7	17.4	14.3	3.07	13.3	13.7	-0.47
Larry Hughes	74	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	-4	-11	15.4	17.3	-1.90	13.6	13.2	0.44
Michael Jordan	61	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.25	-25	6	-31	17.0	14.0	3.01	13.0	14.4	-1.38

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	73	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.36	29	-10	39	13.0	14.8	-1.81	16.2	15.2	0.96
Mike Bibby	59	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	-1	21	12.9	14.3	-1.36	17.0	14.1	2.89
Keon Clark	46	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	11	-3	13.4	13.5	-0.10	16.0	15.8	0.16
Peja Stojakovic	71	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	6	7	13.9	12.5	1.39	16.8	13.5	3.34
Doug Christie	70	71	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	4	11	13.5	13.5	-0.06	16.3	14.9	1.34
Jim Jackson	57	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	7	5	14.2	12.6	1.60	15.6	16.3	-0.72
Hedo Turkoglu	37	37	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	13	-7	13.5	13.5	-0.01	14.6	16.7	-2.14
Damon Jones	39	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	20	-21	14.3	12.9	1.36	14.1	17.0	-2.89
Mateen Cleaves	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	11.8	13.7	-1.88	11.6	16.3	-4.78
Gerald Wallace	28	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	23	-27	13.1	13.6	-0.54	15.6	16.0	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
SAC 85, PHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
BOS 101, SAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.97,1,1,1	96.6%