NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	109		Excitement	3.6 [1042]		MVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): +10.4%
Orlando Magic	121		Comeback	1.2 [608]		LVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): -10.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	12	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	13	64%	0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	70%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	14	63%	-0.00	2	-0.01	15	87%	-0.00
David Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jack Haley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	16	43%	-0.08	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	15	41%	-0.05	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.03	18	71%	0.16	5	-0.05	5	60%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	11	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.01	0.06	11	73%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Johnny Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	91%	0.07	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.08	9	57%	0.08	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	69%	-0.01	6	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	31.2	16.7	33.4	2.8	30.2	141.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +55.1%

ORL +9.2%

NJN -5.3%

NJN -7.1%

NJN -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.6	114.7	127.4	102.5
season	15.6	16.7		104.9	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.2		101.4	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.9	14.7	16.0	12.1	14.9
ORL	14.4	14.7	13.4	19.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jack Haley	5	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	15.0	14.9	0.07	19.0	15.2	3.78
Lucious Harris	35	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-15	18	12.1	16.6	-4.56	14.1	16.2	-2.08
Sherman Douglas	24	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-12	12	15.4	14.8	0.59	20.3	13.8	6.44
David Vaughn	26	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-9	6	16.5	14.3	2.15	15.1	15.5	-0.43
Keith Van Horn	59	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-8	4	14.4	15.8	-1.40	16.5	13.3	3.23
Brian Evans	37	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-4	-4	15.1	14.9	0.19	14.5	15.9	-1.42
Sam Cassell	71	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	0	-12	14.8	15.4	-0.59	13.8	20.3	-6.44
Chris Gatling	81	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-1	-10	14.7	16.1	-1.41	14.8	18.2	-3.35
Kendall Gill	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	-2	-8	15.6	13.2	2.45	15.1	16.0	-0.87
Kerry Kittles	69	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	3	-18	15.8	12.8	2.98	16.3	13.1	3.17

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	90	91	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	0	12	15.3	17.2	-1.92	14.9	16.5	-1.63
Horace Grant	65	67	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.03	17	-5	22	15.7	14.7	0.99	15.5	13.6	1.94
Nick Anderson	82	82	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	1	10	15.1	17.4	-2.32	14.4	18.5	-4.08
Derek Strong	68	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	4	4	15.5	15.2	0.27	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Derek Harper	36	37	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	2	8	14.4	16.0	-1.64	16.0	14.2	1.79
Johnny Taylor	42	42	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	9	-6	15.2	15.5	-0.34	14.2	15.5	-1.30
Mark Price	47	46	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	8	-4	15.0	15.8	-0.83	14.6	15.2	-0.64
Gerald Wilkins	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	11	-10	17.4	15.1	2.32	18.5	14.4	4.08
Kevin Ollie	12	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	14	-16	20.1	14.7	5.38	12.8	15.2	-2.41
Dan Schayes	20	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	16	-20	14.9	15.5	-0.54	15.6	14.8	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
OKC 93, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
NJN 76, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%