NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	76		Excitement	3.0 [730]		MVP	Terry Porter (MIA): +12.9%
Miami Heat	102		Comeback	1.5 [661]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -11.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim McIlvaine	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	15	64%	0.05	5	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Elliot Perry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	11	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	5	17%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	-0.01	-0.05	16	42%	0.00	6	-0.12	4	75%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	5	108%	0.13	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	17	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	58%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	7	14%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	57%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	18	49%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	10	30%	-0.04	1	0.00	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.4	26.3	20.4	27.8	2.0	30.3	136.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +30.4%

MIA +3.2%

NJN -0.6%

MIA +15.9%

MIA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIA	NBA	NJN	MIA	NBA
this game	14.2	16.3	15.8	80.0	108.5	99.6
season	15.0	16.6		96.5	101.3
opponent	16.7	15.6		96.8	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.2	17.7	11.8	12.8	14.2
MIA	15.4	17.4	15.4	17.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Overton	9	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-27	28	18.0	13.8	4.23	17.6	16.2	1.43
Elliot Perry	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.22	-8	-18	10	15.3	14.0	1.29	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Chris Carr	14	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.26	-10	-16	6	14.9	14.0	0.81	15.7	16.4	-0.70
Lucious Harris	22	21	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	-21	16	16.4	13.5	2.86	17.6	16.0	1.61
Jayson Williams	49	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-13	0	14.8	13.5	1.25	16.7	15.9	0.75
Scott Burrell	43	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.16	-14	-12	-2	15.2	13.3	1.82	16.6	16.1	0.52
Keith Van Horn	78	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	-14	2	13.3	18.0	-4.67	16.4	15.8	0.62
Jim McIlvaine	43	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-15	4	15.5	13.1	2.45	16.2	16.4	-0.12
Kendall Gill	58	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	-8	-10	12.9	16.2	-3.31	15.9	17.0	-1.12
Kerry Kittles	73	73	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	0.19	-21	-5	-16	13.5	16.4	-2.86	16.0	17.6	-1.61
Stephon Marbury	77	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	-7	-12	13.6	16.7	-3.08	16.3	16.4	-0.11

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Mourning	61	62	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.11	22	4	18	16.0	16.8	-0.77	14.3	13.9	0.40
P.J. Brown	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.35	28	-2	30	15.7	17.6	-1.88	14.9	12.6	2.34
Dan Majerle	60	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.16	21	5	16	15.7	17.4	-1.71	14.1	14.3	-0.28
Tim Hardaway	63	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	7	12	16.1	16.8	-0.73	14.5	13.4	1.16
Terry Porter	42	41	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.14	16	10	6	16.5	16.2	0.33	16.8	12.2	4.60
Keith Askins	40	41	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	17	-8	16.0	16.6	-0.56	13.4	14.8	-1.41
Rex Walters	31	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.14	7	19	-12	16.8	16.1	0.73	13.4	14.5	-1.16
Mark Strickland	31	31	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	28	-30	17.5	15.7	1.83	14.0	14.2	-0.25
Blue Edwards	22	23	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.14	5	21	-16	17.1	16.1	1.07	12.1	14.8	-2.69
Marty Conlon	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	21	-16	16.4	16.3	0.05	8.8	14.9	-6.05
Duane Causwell	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	25	-24	16.7	16.3	0.49	8.5	15.1	-6.61
Clar. Weatherspoon	32	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	27	-28	17.4	15.8	1.65	16.0	13.2	2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
NJN 109, ORL 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
ATL 72, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%