NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	72		Excitement	3.8 [1026]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +8.0%
New Jersey Nets	87		Comeback	1.2 [998]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (ATL): -18.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Amal McCaskill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.00	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	6	17%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	-0.01	-0.07	17	33%	-0.05	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	7	26%	-0.08	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.18	-0.01	-0.06	11	37%	-0.06	4	-0.06	8	37%	-0.03
Glenn Robinson	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	-0.03	-0.04	15	27%	-0.09	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	73%	0.13	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	55%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	55%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.15	-0.00	-0.13	20	41%	-0.00	5	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	2	17%	-0.02	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	8	35%	-0.04	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	13	27%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	26.2	14.8	30.3	1.7	29.2	127.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +13.8%

NJN +11.5%

NJN +1.7%

NJN +19.5%

NJN +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.5	75.0	90.6	101.6
season	15.1	15.0		99.5	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.7		96.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.2	12.6	15.4	14.3	14.6
NJN	13.2	14.6	15.9	18.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Glover	48	47	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.20	7	-22	29	14.8	14.3	0.56	17.1	13.8	3.33
Amal McCaskill	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	17.7	14.4	3.34	11.0	15.6	-4.59
Matt Maloney	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	17.7	14.4	3.34	11.0	15.6	-4.59
Theo Ratliff	49	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-20	25	13.8	15.3	-1.54	16.8	13.8	3.01
Emanual Davis	38	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-16	17	14.7	14.4	0.31	15.9	15.2	0.72
Darvin Ham	21	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-9	3	16.1	14.1	1.98	12.4	16.4	-4.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	84	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-8	1	14.1	17.8	-3.75	16.2	10.1	6.13
Ira Newble	54	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	2	-19	14.1	15.1	-0.97	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Alan Henderson	43	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	5	-25	15.1	14.1	1.02	14.0	16.5	-2.48
Glenn Robinson	58	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	3	-21	14.5	14.7	-0.18	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Jason Terry	77	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.08	-20	5	-25	14.6	14.5	0.03	15.0	17.3	-2.26

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	73	71	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.14	25	-10	35	14.9	17.2	-2.33	14.3	15.2	-0.93
Kenyon Martin	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.04	16	-1	17	15.5	15.2	0.30	13.9	16.2	-2.27
Jason Collins	56	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	6	3	15.8	14.9	0.94	13.5	16.0	-2.48
Lucious Harris	57	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	6	3	16.2	14.3	1.88	13.6	15.9	-2.35
Richard Jefferson	74	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	6	3	15.7	14.6	1.05	13.6	17.4	-3.76
Rodney Rogers	42	43	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	10	-5	15.5	15.4	0.13	16.6	12.9	3.63
Tamar Slay	39	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	9	-3	14.3	16.2	-1.88	15.9	13.6	2.35
Aaron Williams	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	9	-3	14.9	15.8	-0.94	16.0	13.5	2.48
Brian Scalabrine	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	11.0	15.6	-4.59	17.7	14.4	3.34
Anthony Johnson	23	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.20	-10	25	-35	17.2	14.9	2.33	15.2	14.3	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 91, WAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
WAS 95, MEM 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
SAC 103, DEN 128	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%