inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 91 Excitement3.3 [1084] MVPTracy Murray (WAS): +9.7%
Washington Wizards 118 Comeback1.5 [1142] LVPOliver Miller (TOR): -7.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.001159%0.052-0.0200%0.00
John Wallace0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01867%0.041-0.002100%0.00
Damon Stoudamire0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.08-0.00-0.092045%0.114-0.102100%0.00
Tim Kempton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05425%0.0010.0000%0.00
Shawn Respert-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.03564%-0.0000.00450%-0.02
Reggie Slater-0.010,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.00550%-0.0100.0020%-0.02
Zan Tabak-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02833%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Doug Christie-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.001256%0.013-0.07875%-0.01
Chris Garner-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.14-0.00-0.0850%-0.033-0.0300%0.00
Oliver Miller-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.02560%-0.013-0.0600%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.00-0.001385%0.165-0.0600%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.011275%0.103-0.02475%-0.01
Rod Strickland0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.01781%0.072-0.02771%-0.01
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.00-0.04558%0.0510.002100%0.00
Chris Webber0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.11-0.000.071473%0.062-0.022100%0.01
Ledell Eackles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Harvey Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.00275%0.001-0.00450%0.00
Terry Davis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.02761%0.011-0.02475%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.021238%-0.042-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.61.725.315.422.41.823.2113.4
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +22.5%
WAS +13.4%
WAS +3.6%
WAS +12.2%
TOR -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORWASNBATORWASNBA
this game16.113.915.694.8122.9102.5
season15.515.198.7102.8
opponent15.614.8102.2108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.018.416.215.016.1
WAS15.012.912.015.713.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Kempton11110.00-0.500.50-0.031-282912.516.6-4.1519.113.25.89
Reggie Slater3837-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-252317.815.12.7115.912.63.28
Oliver Miller5454-0.17-0.330.160.12-10-17717.314.62.7615.112.42.70
Shawn Respert3940-0.20-0.300.090.06-9-18914.117.5-3.4513.614.0-0.39
John Wallace4342-0.23-0.270.040.21-15-12-315.616.5-0.9012.415.0-2.57
Chris Garner5253-0.26-0.24-0.030.21-16-11-516.016.3-0.3614.013.70.32
Damon Stoudamire7473-0.30-0.20-0.090.26-19-8-1117.112.84.3513.814.1-0.28
Tracy McGrady6162-0.31-0.19-0.110.28-20-7-1315.417.3-1.9214.213.30.85
Zan Tabak2929-0.36-0.14-0.230.13-17-10-715.116.6-1.4111.015.1-4.17
Doug Christie7979-0.510.01-0.510.31-281-2916.414.91.4413.117.6-4.51

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calbert Cheaney64640.58-0.080.67-0.122432113.115.5-2.4415.916.6-0.66
Chris Webber70710.54-0.040.58-0.2828-12913.215.6-2.3316.714.42.33
Rod Strickland73730.53-0.030.56-0.262702712.917.0-4.0516.215.70.51
Juwan Howard73740.450.050.40-0.142071313.714.3-0.5616.814.02.76
Tracy Murray50510.270.230.03-0.231710712.715.2-2.5415.816.4-0.60
Terry Davis40400.110.39-0.29-0.10720-1314.613.31.3318.814.24.54
Chris Whitney33330.040.46-0.42-0.19819-1114.913.31.5315.716.3-0.65
Ledell Eackles20200.000.50-0.50-0.06225-2316.613.23.4415.216.4-1.11
Ben Wallace16150.000.50-0.50-0.03126-2517.513.14.3513.116.7-3.62
Harvey Grant12110.000.50-0.500.03-128-2919.013.15.8612.516.6-4.15
Darvin Ham2928-0.010.51-0.52-0.07225-2313.913.9-0.0214.017.0-2.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 64, LAC 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
NOP 112, MIN 1240.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
ATL 72, NJN 870.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%