NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	3.2 [1185]		MVP	Gary Neal (WAS): +15.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	112		Comeback	1.0 [967]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -11.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.18	0.03	0.05	14	73%	0.16	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Jared Dudley	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	10	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
DeJuan Blair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.04	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Kelly Oubre	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	57%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	7	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Otto Porter	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	8	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	11	38%	-0.06	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
John Wall	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	11	27%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	9	100%	0.12	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.01	-0.08	7	57%	0.08	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	14	60%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	6	92%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.04	11	68%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	12	54%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Russ Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	17	60%	0.04	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	26.5	16.5	24.5	2.5	32.4	126.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +45.6%

MEM +0.7%

WAS -0.5%

MEM +3.5%

MEM +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MEM	NBA	WAS	MEM	NBA
this game	13.2	16.6	14.9	97.9	116.7	105.1
season	13.8	15.7		104.1	103.4
opponent	14.8	15.1		106.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.8	13.2	13.0	12.9	13.2
MEM	15.7	18.1	15.8	17.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Oubre	35	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-17	17	12.8	13.5	-0.70	16.1	17.0	-0.86
Kris Humphries	36	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-19	21	12.9	13.4	-0.43	17.7	16.0	1.73
Ramon Sessions	52	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-14	11	12.7	13.8	-1.09	17.1	16.1	1.02
DeJuan Blair	44	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-15	13	13.1	13.3	-0.23	17.3	16.1	1.27
Garrett Temple	35	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-5	-7	14.1	12.7	1.36	15.4	17.4	-1.96
Gary Neal	62	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-12	7	12.7	14.1	-1.36	17.4	15.4	1.96
Marcin Gortat	53	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-2	-13	13.3	13.1	0.23	16.1	17.3	-1.27
Jared Dudley	57	57	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	0.14	-17	0	-17	13.1	13.4	-0.35	15.9	17.8	-1.89
Otto Porter	53	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.09	-16	-1	-15	14.0	12.2	1.81	17.1	16.1	0.94
John Wall	58	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.07	-17	0	-17	13.5	12.8	0.71	16.2	17.2	-0.95

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	81	80	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.09	12	5	7	16.8	15.6	1.24	13.3	12.9	0.41
Courtney Lee	79	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	0	17	15.8	20.6	-4.86	13.3	12.8	0.55
Marc Gasol	77	79	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	1	15	16.7	16.3	0.41	13.4	12.5	0.88
Mike Conley	73	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	1	15	16.7	16.4	0.33	13.7	11.7	1.99
Matt Barnes	68	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.27	22	-5	27	15.2	20.2	-5.04	13.3	13.1	0.20
Zach Randolph	39	40	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	9	-1	18.4	15.4	2.97	13.1	13.3	-0.16
Mario Chalmers	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	13	-9	18.8	15.4	3.41	12.6	13.6	-0.96
JaMychal Green	23	22	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.26	-7	24	-31	17.0	16.5	0.52	12.4	13.5	-1.10
Russ Smith	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	13.0	16.8	-3.80	8.0	13.4	-5.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 84, CLE 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIL 88, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
ATL 72, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%