NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	4.2 [982]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +10.7%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	1.4 [1182]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -12.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	13	65%	0.10	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	9	45%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	11	55%	-0.05
Maceo Baston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	5	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	18	44%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	16	32%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.03	-0.04	12	58%	0.11	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.04	10	92%	0.18	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	11	66%	0.15	3	-0.07	13	85%	0.03
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	5	71%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	15	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	9	61%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	9	52%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	30.1	15.4	28.3	1.8	29.0	131.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.0%

PHX +10.3%

IND -5.0%

IND -0.5%

PHX +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHX	NBA	IND	PHX	NBA
this game	17.3	15.2	15.4	101.1	130.7	104.5
season	15.3	13.8		101.3	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.3		105.0	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.1	18.0	16.2	17.9	17.3
PHX	16.4	13.3	15.1	16.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rawle Marshall	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-18	11	15.3	17.5	-2.17	16.0	15.2	0.82
Orien Greene	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-18	11	15.3	17.5	-2.17	16.0	15.2	0.82
Ike Diogu	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.22	-8	-17	9	22.1	16.5	5.62	15.6	15.2	0.38
Maceo Baston	2	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-24	23	16.0	17.3	-1.31	23.0	15.2	7.84
Darrell Armstrong	19	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-19	13	17.9	17.1	0.78	17.1	14.7	2.39
Marquis Daniels	31	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-17	9	20.3	15.7	4.62	16.9	14.4	2.50
Jermaine O'Neal	54	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-16	7	16.4	18.7	-2.27	15.5	14.8	0.64
Troy Murphy	58	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	-10	-5	15.6	20.4	-4.82	14.9	15.9	-1.01
Jamaal Tinsley	63	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-13	1	17.3	17.2	0.13	14.5	16.8	-2.25
Danny Granger	65	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	-12	-1	17.4	17.1	0.27	14.6	16.8	-2.17
Mike Dunleavy	75	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.22	-22	-3	-19	16.2	23.3	-7.13	15.0	16.5	-1.49
Jeff Foster	51	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	-8	-9	19.0	15.0	3.93	15.1	15.4	-0.23

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	65	68	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.04	17	8	9	15.3	15.0	0.28	16.9	18.6	-1.69
Leandro Barbosa	63	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.20	21	4	17	15.1	15.6	-0.49	18.0	15.7	2.21
Kurt Thomas	63	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.28	23	2	21	14.7	16.6	-1.94	16.5	19.2	-2.73
Steve Nash	62	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	14	-3	14.8	16.2	-1.39	15.7	20.9	-5.18
James Jones	62	63	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.23	19	6	13	14.5	17.1	-2.65	16.3	19.7	-3.41
Raja Bell	47	50	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.09	12	13	-1	16.4	14.0	2.43	18.7	15.5	3.24
Eric Piatkowski	37	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.16	11	14	-3	15.8	14.9	0.92	19.4	15.8	3.63
Pat Burke	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.20	11	14	-3	16.2	14.4	1.82	18.4	16.3	2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 76, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
ORL 86, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%
LAL 81, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%