inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 81 Excitement3.1 [717] MVPMario Elie (SAS): +5.9%
San Antonio Spurs 108 Comeback1.2 [646] LVPKobe Bryant (LAL): -8.6%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Reid0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.00-0.00-0.03760%0.061-0.03633%-0.03
Robert Horry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01437%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ruben Patterson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Travis Knight0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.000,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.010.021762%0.053-0.05875%0.00
Tyronn Lue-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Sean Rooks-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Rick Fox-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03633%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Derek Harper-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02333%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Glen Rice-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.010.031361%0.033-0.07580%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0230%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Kobe Bryant-0.090,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.021437%-0.042-0.05250%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Elie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01480%0.0600.002100%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.010.03968%0.0600.001100%0.00
Sean Elliott0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.010.04878%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.01-0.02756%0.0410.00250%-0.00
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.000.001057%0.051-0.031100%-0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.00-0.041162%0.073-0.051275%0.01
Jerome Kersey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.00-0.04425%0.0200.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.01771%0.042-0.0300%0.00
David Robinson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.031353%0.032-0.02450%-0.01
Will Perdue00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerard King0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01343%0.0000.001100%0.00
Steve Kerr00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game121.72.729.116.728.52.033.1233.7
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +31.9%
SAS +4.9%
SAS +2.0%
SAS +10.8%
SAS +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALSASNBALALSASNBA
this game16.515.715.891.0120.099.6
season14.915.9104.7101.1
opponent15.915.892.7102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL17.816.015.616.616.5
SAS16.513.517.116.115.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Rooks13150.04-0.540.590.10-2-252317.516.31.1615.815.70.11
Ruben Patterson560.00-0.500.500.09-3-242115.216.5-1.3512.715.9-3.26
Travis Knight670.00-0.500.500.09-3-242114.816.6-1.7613.315.9-2.63
Tyronn Lue911-0.00-0.500.490.05-2-252315.816.5-0.7716.515.60.85
Derek Harper3635-0.15-0.350.210.03-6-211515.916.8-0.8915.216.0-0.79
Rick Fox3134-0.16-0.340.180.22-13-14116.316.6-0.3314.816.2-1.43
Glen Rice6968-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-14-13-117.413.24.1616.413.52.87
Shaquille O'Neal6260-0.34-0.16-0.170.02-12-15316.716.00.6816.613.82.82
Robert Horry3838-0.35-0.15-0.200.27-21-6-1516.516.50.0013.717.2-3.51
Derek Fisher4444-0.35-0.15-0.200.21-19-8-1117.015.91.1315.915.50.39
J.R. Reid5960-0.36-0.14-0.220.11-16-11-516.217.0-0.8016.314.51.82
Kobe Bryant7372-0.530.03-0.570.17-24-3-2115.819.7-3.9215.715.70.06

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Robinson53530.380.120.270.091017-715.915.50.4316.716.20.51
Tim Duncan73730.330.170.16-0.262071316.711.35.4516.616.00.58
Malik Rose38380.330.170.16-0.322251713.417.4-3.9615.717.0-1.28
Jaren Jackson43420.320.180.14-0.241981114.516.8-2.3016.016.9-0.98
Avery Johnson54540.280.220.05-0.101314-116.913.92.9917.315.22.14
Mario Elie47460.280.220.05-0.051116-516.415.01.4115.917.1-1.16
Sean Elliott54560.270.230.04-0.111314-116.914.02.9016.217.0-0.84
Antonio Daniels36350.220.28-0.05-0.191413113.916.9-2.9915.217.3-2.14
Jerome Kersey29280.130.37-0.23-0.10819-1114.816.1-1.3019.115.23.90
Gerard King760.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2113.315.9-2.6314.816.6-1.76
Steve Kerr760.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2113.315.9-2.6314.816.6-1.76
Will Perdue98-0.040.54-0.59-0.01-128-2917.915.52.4218.916.22.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 81, PHX 960.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
TOR 77, NJN 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
POR 87, PHX 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%