NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	77		Excitement	3.6 [1056]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +5.1%
New Jersey Nets	88		Comeback	1.2 [1261]		LVP	Rafer Alston (TOR): -19.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	67%	0.07	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Antonio Davis	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	61%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Art Long	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	6	67%	0.05	6	-0.09	3	33%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	61%	-0.02	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	8	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damone Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.06	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	8	35%	-0.07	7	-0.06	10	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.10	5	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	10	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	11	37%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	10	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	15	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	14	55%	0.06	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	29.4	15.3	26.5	2.4	26.6	127.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +27.6%

NJN +0.8%

TOR -3.3%

NJN +26.7%

TOR -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	14.5	13.7	15.5	75.5	86.3	101.6
season	16.2	15.0		98.8	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		96.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.1	15.6	14.5	12.1	14.5
NJN	15.2	12.1	12.1	15.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Art Long	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-9	7	13.4	15.8	-2.44	12.9	14.6	-1.70
Jelani McCoy	45	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-10	9	13.4	15.4	-1.98	13.8	13.6	0.23
Rafer Alston	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-12	13	13.8	16.1	-2.32	14.3	12.3	2.00
Damone Brown	75	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-9	7	14.3	15.3	-1.02	14.1	12.6	1.49
Jerome Williams	66	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-12	13	14.8	14.1	0.76	14.2	12.6	1.65
Alvin Williams	55	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	5	-21	15.7	13.2	2.48	12.3	15.2	-2.87
Morris Peterson	87	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.10	-18	7	-25	15.2	10.5	4.71	13.8	12.9	0.96
Antonio Davis	60	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	7	-25	15.3	13.5	1.74	13.5	14.0	-0.53

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	56	55	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	-10	31	12.7	14.8	-2.12	15.3	13.6	1.69
Lucious Harris	57	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	-10	31	12.7	15.0	-2.31	15.2	13.7	1.51
Richard Jefferson	55	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.37	23	-12	35	12.6	14.9	-2.32	15.5	13.4	2.14
Aaron Williams	52	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	7	-3	14.2	13.1	1.15	14.6	14.5	0.06
Brian Scalabrine	74	74	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	11	-11	13.9	13.1	0.80	14.0	16.0	-2.00
Jason Collins	50	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	4	3	13.1	14.2	-1.15	14.5	14.6	-0.06
Kerry Kittles	46	48	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.27	17	-6	23	11.5	15.5	-3.98	15.1	14.1	1.01
Kenyon Martin	44	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	5	1	14.4	13.1	1.27	15.3	14.0	1.22
Tamar Slay	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.50	-17	28	-45	19.3	12.7	6.62	10.7	15.2	-4.44
Anthony Johnson	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.50	-17	28	-45	19.3	12.7	6.62	10.7	15.2	-4.44
Chris Childs	46	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.27	-10	21	-31	14.8	12.7	2.12	13.6	15.3	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
LAC 82, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
PHI 93, POR 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%