NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	3.4 [1079]		MVP	Corliss Williamson (SAC): +7.3%
Sacramento Kings	108		Comeback	1.2 [1162]		LVP	Jim Jackson (NJN): -13.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.05	18	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jack Haley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joe Kleine	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	16	63%	0.02	6	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	21	45%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	12	23%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	11	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.00	0.07	12	85%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Gamble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	79%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	13	68%	0.14	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	55%	0.01	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Lionel Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Grayer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	6	33%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Salvadori	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	43%	-0.06	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Olden Polynice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	-0.08	13	39%	-0.04	6	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	26.7	15.6	28.0	2.7	25.2	124.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +42.9%

NJN -2.9%

SAC +5.5%

SAC +1.4%

SAC +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAC	NBA	NJN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.3	14.1	15.6	95.0	104.9	104.4
season	15.4	15.4		101.7	102.4
opponent	15.4	14.9		106.0	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.7	13.9	16.2	12.6	14.3
SAC	17.2	13.3	12.1	14.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jack Haley	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	11.2	14.7	-3.49	11.9	14.4	-2.44
Kevin Edwards	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-10	7	14.8	14.2	0.56	14.3	14.0	0.33
Joe Kleine	39	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-14	15	14.0	14.5	-0.57	15.4	13.2	2.17
Tony Massenburg	34	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-4	-5	14.4	14.3	0.14	15.2	13.5	1.67
Xavier McDaniel	53	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-6	-1	14.8	13.8	0.92	13.9	14.3	-0.40
Eric Montross	57	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-1	-11	14.5	14.1	0.44	13.1	15.3	-2.15
Kerry Kittles	74	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-6	-1	13.3	17.2	-3.83	14.4	13.1	1.23
Kendall Gill	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	0	-13	14.7	13.3	1.39	13.8	14.8	-0.98
Jim Jackson	65	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-1	-11	15.2	12.8	2.38	14.3	13.5	0.81
Sam Cassell	73	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	-5	-3	14.3	14.4	-0.07	13.7	15.2	-1.47

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Smith	66	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.17	21	-8	29	14.4	13.5	0.89	15.7	11.6	4.09
Mitch Richmond	72	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.20	19	-6	25	14.4	13.2	1.24	15.1	12.4	2.73
Olden Polynice	68	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.29	22	-9	31	14.2	13.8	0.39	15.3	12.4	2.83
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	55	52	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.28	20	-7	27	14.7	13.3	1.44	15.5	13.0	2.54
Billy Owens	54	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	-2	17	14.5	13.6	0.97	15.8	12.7	3.09
Corliss Williamson	42	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	12	-11	14.0	14.1	-0.02	13.0	15.1	-2.12
Tyus Edney	39	39	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.19	0	13	-13	13.6	14.3	-0.75	13.8	14.6	-0.78
Jeff Grayer	36	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	17	-21	13.2	14.5	-1.37	11.9	15.6	-3.79
Kevin Gamble	44	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	17	-21	13.6	14.4	-0.78	13.2	15.1	-1.95
Lionel Simmons	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	11.6	14.3	-2.72	9.9	14.8	-4.91
Bobby Hurley	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	12.0	14.3	-2.26	9.3	14.8	-5.48
Kevin Salvadori	20	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.37	-13	26	-39	13.8	14.1	-0.32	11.0	15.0	-4.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
IND 87, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIL 85, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.9%