NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	3.1 [1122]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): +6.6%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	1.1 [1151]		LVP	Dale Davis (IND): -7.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	10	70%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jerome Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Vincent Askew	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	17	46%	0.00	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Antonio Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	57%	-0.02	1	-0.03	12	58%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	11	42%	-0.04	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	13	68%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	62%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	10	53%	0.03	1	-0.01	12	58%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnie Boyce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	13	52%	-0.03	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	27.3	16.3	26.6	1.5	24.4	123.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +28.6%

ATL +6.1%

ATL +3.8%

ATL +7.5%

ATL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	15.3	17.8	15.6	100.0	114.9	104.4
season	15.3	16.4		103.6	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.3		100.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	18.6	15.2	12.6	15.3
ATL	18.2	16.4	19.0	17.4	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-20	27	11.3	16.2	-4.89	16.8	18.0	-1.20
Jerome Allen	15	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-14	15	13.7	15.6	-1.91	14.4	18.5	-4.11
Rik Smits	25	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-5	-3	14.8	15.5	-0.77	19.7	16.9	2.78
Jalen Rose	62	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.08	-5	-8	3	15.0	16.1	-1.08	17.6	18.3	-0.73
Dale Davis	48	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-3	-7	14.7	16.1	-1.44	19.1	16.4	2.68
Erick Dampier	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-8	3	15.5	15.0	0.52	15.5	20.6	-5.16
Vincent Askew	40	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	2	-17	16.4	14.4	2.02	17.2	18.3	-1.13
Antonio Davis	53	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-10	7	15.9	14.3	1.62	17.8	17.8	-0.00
Reggie Miller	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-6	-1	15.5	14.7	0.83	18.5	16.2	2.29
Travis Best	67	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.02	-20	7	-27	16.0	13.0	2.94	18.8	14.7	4.12

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	55	56	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.12	25	-12	37	18.6	16.5	2.09	17.1	12.0	5.09
Christian Laettner	62	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.13	22	-9	31	18.0	17.2	0.78	16.6	12.0	4.65
Steven Smith	61	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.15	20	-7	27	18.0	17.3	0.69	16.1	13.5	2.65
Henry James	75	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	1	11	18.0	16.7	1.21	15.6	13.5	2.12
Dikembe Mutombo	61	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	1	11	18.8	15.5	3.33	16.0	13.6	2.46
Alan Henderson	35	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	11	-9	17.1	18.2	-1.09	14.1	16.1	-2.01
Jon Barry	40	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	19	-25	17.0	18.5	-1.47	13.7	16.6	-2.93
Eldridge Recasner	21	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.30	-10	23	-33	17.2	18.0	-0.73	12.0	16.3	-4.30
Donnie Boyce	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	15.1	18.1	-2.99	10.9	15.8	-4.93
Priest Lauderdale	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	15.5	18.1	-2.59	10.6	16.0	-5.35
Ivano Newbill	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	13.0	18.1	-5.15	9.7	15.7	-6.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 85, ORL 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NJN 95, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHI 93, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%