NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	81		Excitement	3.3 [1105]		MVP	Todd Day (PHX): +9.2%
Phoenix Suns	96		Comeback	1.1 [948]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -12.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Allan Houston	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	63%	0.03	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.03
Chris Childs	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirsad Turkcan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	80%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	9	29%	-0.11	1	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07
Latrell Sprewell	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	11	47%	-0.03	6	-0.10	8	100%	0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	9	77%	0.09	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.08	10	56%	0.04	3	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	4	92%	0.12	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	12	53%	0.03	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.4	32.4	15.8	27.3	2.5	32.5	141.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.6%

PHX +1.5%

PHX +4.8%

PHX +3.1%

PHX +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHX	NBA	NYK	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	16.5	15.2	90.0	106.7	101.7
season	16.1	14.8		100.0	101.4
opponent	15.3	15.8		96.8	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	18.1	13.7	15.5	15.5
PHX	14.7	14.6	18.2	18.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Lang	31	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-13	11	15.1	15.7	-0.56	17.2	16.1	1.11
Rick Brunson	34	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-15	15	14.1	16.3	-2.12	17.8	15.7	2.07
Mirsad Turkcan	13	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-13	11	15.2	15.5	-0.28	17.3	16.4	0.91
Kurt Thomas	25	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.10	-9	-6	-3	15.4	15.5	-0.15	16.4	16.6	-0.18
Charlie Ward	39	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-10	5	15.6	15.4	0.17	16.5	16.5	-0.04
John Wallace	46	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-11	7	16.4	14.5	1.89	16.0	17.0	-1.00
Marcus Camby	43	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-5	-5	15.3	15.6	-0.31	16.4	16.6	-0.20
Chris Dudley	48	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-10	5	15.7	15.2	0.43	16.6	16.5	0.11
Chris Childs	51	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-5	-5	15.4	15.6	-0.17	16.5	16.5	0.04
Allan Houston	64	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-3	-9	15.4	15.6	-0.16	16.1	17.6	-1.47
Latrell Sprewell	56	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	1	-17	15.8	14.9	0.94	16.1	17.2	-1.03

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Day	44	42	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-2	19	15.7	17.3	-1.67	14.1	16.7	-2.57
Jason Kidd	75	73	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.07	18	-3	21	16.2	18.2	-2.00	15.8	13.8	2.03
Tom Gugliotta	68	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	0	15	16.8	15.7	1.07	15.2	16.5	-1.32
Rodney Rogers	46	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	4	7	15.5	17.6	-2.07	16.4	14.4	2.05
Oliver Miller	60	58	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	4	7	16.4	16.8	-0.45	15.5	15.4	0.09
Anfernee Hardaway	51	51	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.10	12	3	9	16.9	16.0	0.90	15.8	15.0	0.78
Luc Longley	26	28	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	9	-3	17.4	16.2	1.20	15.7	15.3	0.41
Shawn Marion	47	46	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	16	-17	16.7	16.4	0.26	16.0	14.9	1.09
Randy Livingston	16	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	18	-21	17.2	16.4	0.87	13.2	16.0	-2.88
Mark West	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	20.5	16.3	4.15	15.5	15.5	0.03
Rex Chapman	13	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	22	-29	18.5	16.2	2.25	15.1	15.5	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 81, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
ATL 83, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
PHI 83, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,1	96.2%