NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	76		Excitement	3.7 [1028]		MVP	John Starks (NYK): +15.4%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	1.3 [879]		LVP	Alonzo Mourning (MIA): -17.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.08	4	110%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keith Askins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.03	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.03
John Crotty	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.07	6	67%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	12	40%	-0.05	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.03	10	50%	-0.03	6	-0.13	8	62%	-0.03
Alonzo Mourning	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	-0.00	-0.02	16	32%	-0.11	4	-0.07	8	37%	-0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	-0.01	12	81%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	68%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	13	62%	0.07	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	14	49%	0.03	4	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	0.01	6	36%	-0.05	4	-0.08	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	36.4	16.4	28.3	2.3	29.6	136.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +36.5%

NYK +7.6%

MIA -7.8%

NYK +14.0%

MIA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.6	81.7	97.8	104.4
season	15.8	15.1		103.1	102.0
opponent	16.1	16.3		98.8	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.9	18.8	16.0	13.3	15.4
NYK	16.8	14.6	16.0	16.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	30	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-14	15	13.4	16.3	-2.98	16.7	15.6	1.19
Ike Austin	15	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-14	15	18.4	14.8	3.59	16.7	15.8	0.89
Keith Askins	5	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-8	3	26.6	14.7	11.85	11.6	16.2	-4.57
John Crotty	39	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-13	13	16.0	15.0	1.01	16.1	15.8	0.31
Willie Anderson	41	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-9	5	13.5	16.9	-3.35	15.9	15.9	-0.00
Jamal Mashburn	75	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.16	-5	-8	3	15.0	17.1	-2.14	16.1	15.4	0.70
Voshon Lenard	52	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-1	-11	16.3	14.2	2.18	15.4	16.6	-1.25
P.J. Brown	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	0	-13	15.5	15.2	0.23	16.0	15.7	0.25
Tim Hardaway	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	4	-21	14.9	16.9	-1.93	16.2	15.0	1.12
Alonzo Mourning	74	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-2	-9	15.7	14.2	1.48	15.6	17.2	-1.62

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	62	64	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-5	23	16.2	15.4	0.80	15.5	15.0	0.51
Patrick Ewing	78	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.06	20	-7	27	15.8	16.7	-0.90	15.2	16.6	-1.39
Charlie Ward	36	38	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-3	19	14.7	16.7	-1.99	16.3	14.8	1.53
Allan Houston	78	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.14	21	-8	29	15.2	20.5	-5.38	15.1	17.3	-2.24
Buck Williams	25	28	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	2	9	15.0	16.3	-1.27	17.5	14.5	2.97
Charles Oakley	60	60	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	13	-13	16.5	14.7	1.79	15.5	15.2	0.37
Chris Childs	55	56	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	13	-13	17.0	14.2	2.77	15.0	16.0	-1.06
John Wallace	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	15.3	15.9	-0.61	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Walter McCarty	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	15.3	15.9	-0.61	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Scott Brooks	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	15.3	15.9	-0.61	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Larry Johnson	52	52	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	19	-25	16.5	15.2	1.30	14.7	16.2	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SAC 100, DAL 123	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
DET 84, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%