NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	80		Excitement	4.1 [1027]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +13.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	1.1 [785]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): -9.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
David West	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.02	0.05	15	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	10	41%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	19	54%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Orlando Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	14	39%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	17	71%	0.17	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	16	59%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.06	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	42%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.4	27.4	15.4	26.4	2.5	28.7	125.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +49.1%

POR +0.4%

IND -0.9%

POR +0.1%

POR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	POR	NBA	IND	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.4	87.0	111.1	104.1
season	16.1	15.8		102.4	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.6	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.7	18.5	14.4	13.0	15.8
POR	15.0	14.9	15.0	18.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	23	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-20	20	18.1	15.1	2.99	16.7	15.5	1.30
Orlando Johnson	21	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-14	8	18.3	15.1	3.22	14.8	16.1	-1.22
Lance Stephenson	77	76	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-16	12	15.5	17.8	-2.33	16.1	14.4	1.71
George Hill	71	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	-10	0	15.4	17.2	-1.80	16.2	14.5	1.66
Roy Hibbert	63	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-10	0	15.0	17.8	-2.79	15.9	15.6	0.26
Ian Mahinmi	29	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-10	0	17.8	15.0	2.79	15.6	15.9	-0.26
David West	69	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.15	-20	0	-20	15.1	18.1	-2.99	15.5	16.7	-1.30
Paul George	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.15	-22	2	-24	14.9	18.9	-3.96	15.7	16.2	-0.58
D.J. Augustin	36	36	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	-2	-16	17.8	14.6	3.22	15.2	16.2	-0.92

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	40	38	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	2	16	15.9	15.7	0.18	16.4	15.4	1.02
Wesley Matthews	72	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	8	4	15.7	16.3	-0.67	15.6	17.1	-1.50
Meyers Leonard	35	33	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	6	8	16.0	15.7	0.33	16.3	15.6	0.76
Damian Lillard	72	74	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	13	-6	16.0	14.9	1.14	15.6	16.8	-1.23
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	14	-8	15.9	15.5	0.40	15.6	16.6	-1.00
Jared Jeffries	19	18	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	12	-4	15.2	16.0	-0.81	18.1	15.3	2.81
JJ Hickson	57	61	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.14	12	8	4	15.7	15.9	-0.22	14.9	17.7	-2.81
Ronnie Price	15	15	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	13	-6	14.3	16.1	-1.76	18.7	15.3	3.37
Nicolas Batum	66	69	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	16	-12	15.8	15.7	0.18	16.2	14.8	1.36
Nolan Smith	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	14	-8	17.7	15.7	1.93	7.7	16.1	-8.46
Luke Babbitt	3	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.20	6	14	-8	17.7	15.7	1.93	14.0	15.9	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 77, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.9%
CLE 84, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAC 86, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%