NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	77		Excitement	4.9 [806]		MVP	Greg Ostertag (UTA): +3.4%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	1.1 [937]		LVP	Elden Campbell (LAL): -17.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Kersey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	19	53%	0.05	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Byron Scott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	15	53%	-0.01	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	16	42%	-0.08	4	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.07	0.02	13	32%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	62%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	80%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	67%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	11	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	21	44%	-0.03	3	-0.05	10	50%	-0.04
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	129.9	1.8	27.4	21.6	27.2	3.6	34.1	245.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.0%

LAL -3.7%

UTA +9.0%

LAL -1.0%

LAL -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.6	84.6	104.5	104.4
season	15.3	15.6		105.8	110.8
opponent	16.0	15.7		102.2	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	17.5	16.0	16.0	16.0
UTA	15.5	16.0	16.0	16.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	10.3	16.1	-5.81	13.5	16.1	-2.60
Travis Knight	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-13	10	11.1	16.4	-5.30	17.0	16.0	1.05
Byron Scott	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-17	18	15.3	16.1	-0.75	13.1	16.6	-3.50
Sean Rooks	11	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-10	4	17.1	15.8	1.29	12.4	16.5	-4.11
Kobe Bryant	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	-6	-4	16.1	15.9	0.17	17.0	15.7	1.29
Jerome Kersey	39	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-9	2	16.0	15.9	0.12	17.2	15.2	2.05
Shaquille O'Neal	73	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-9	2	16.0	15.8	0.22	16.8	12.6	4.25
Robert Horry	57	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-11	6	16.2	15.6	0.54	16.1	15.9	0.27
Eddie Jones	77	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-5	-6	15.6	18.0	-2.42	15.4	19.3	-3.85
Elden Campbell	64	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	-2	-12	16.2	15.3	0.94	16.0	16.2	-0.19
Nick Van Exel	82	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	3	-22	16.5	11.2	5.25	16.0	16.4	-0.42

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Carr	30	31	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.07	20	-4	24	16.0	16.1	-0.02	17.4	15.2	2.17
Chris Morris	24	23	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.08	17	-1	18	17.0	15.7	1.36	17.9	15.3	2.62
John Stockton	69	69	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	4	8	16.5	14.5	1.99	15.8	16.5	-0.72
Shandon Anderson	30	34	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	6	4	17.1	15.5	1.54	16.1	15.9	0.16
Greg Ostertag	60	58	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	8	0	16.6	14.8	1.81	15.6	16.5	-0.88
Karl Malone	72	73	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	11	-6	15.7	17.3	-1.54	16.1	15.6	0.50
Jeff Hornacek	59	57	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	10	-4	15.5	17.1	-1.54	15.9	16.1	-0.16
Howard Eisley	20	22	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	12	-8	14.5	16.5	-1.99	16.5	15.8	0.72
Bryon Russell	65	68	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	17	-18	15.7	17.0	-1.36	15.3	17.9	-2.62
Greg Foster	16	20	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	17	-18	15.2	16.2	-1.05	14.3	16.4	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 80, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CHI 101, CLE 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.99,1	95.0%
SAS 94, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.8%