NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	101		Excitement	5.1 [782]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (CLE): +12.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Comeback	1.2 [767]		LVP	Tyrone Hill (CLE): -14.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.15	-0.01	0.07	10	91%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	60%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	3	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	31	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	12	67%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jay Williams	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	10	40%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	14	72%	0.17	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	-0.06	5	70%	0.09	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.10	0.01	-0.10	25	51%	0.10	6	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	18	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	13	77%	0.02
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	12	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	28.3	15.6	27.3	2.5	33.4	133.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +20.6%

CLE +6.8%

CLE +22.0%

CHI -1.8%

CLE +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	13.5	15.3	15.5	101.0	111.0	101.6
season	15.0	15.1		98.3	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.1		104.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.1	14.3	13.0	13.3	13.5
CLE	15.7	13.4	16.4	16.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	12	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-9	8	13.6	13.4	0.14	14.9	15.4	-0.48
Tyson Chandler	39	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-9	8	13.5	13.4	0.09	16.2	14.8	1.36
Eddy Curry	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-3	-4	14.7	13.0	1.65	15.2	15.4	-0.16
Trenton Hassell	48	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-5	0	13.5	13.5	-0.00	15.5	15.2	0.31
Eddie Robinson	45	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-7	4	14.1	12.9	1.14	15.5	15.2	0.35
Fred Hoiberg	42	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-5	0	13.7	13.3	0.36	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Donyell Marshall	71	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-8	6	13.2	14.1	-0.86	15.3	15.3	0.03
Jalen Rose	84	84	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-11	12	12.7	17.4	-4.66	15.5	14.7	0.78
Corie Blount	63	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	0	-10	13.2	13.9	-0.73	14.9	16.1	-1.26
Jay Williams	69	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	7	-24	13.8	12.7	1.13	15.3	15.4	-0.12

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	88	86	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	-1	12	15.6	13.5	2.09	13.2	14.9	-1.71
Jumaine Jones	40	40	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-2	14	14.6	15.8	-1.19	14.8	12.5	2.32
Carlos Boozer	71	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	2	6	15.4	15.2	0.14	13.0	14.4	-1.39
Dajuan Wagner	86	87	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.27	1	9	-8	15.1	16.6	-1.51	12.7	18.4	-5.66
Tyrone Hill	55	55	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	5	0	14.9	15.8	-0.88	13.6	13.3	0.35
DeSagana Diop	32	33	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	1	8	15.1	15.5	-0.41	15.0	12.7	2.25
Smush Parker	31	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	5	0	15.5	15.3	0.21	15.3	12.6	2.72
Milt Palacio	57	57	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	10	-10	15.5	15.1	0.39	12.8	14.3	-1.48
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	40	40	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.13	-1	11	-12	16.3	14.7	1.60	12.9	13.8	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 86, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
ATL 69, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
NOH 87, NJN 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%