NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	87		Excitement	3.9 [1012]		MVP	Keyon Dooling (NJN): +8.9%
New Jersey Nets	115		Comeback	1.3 [539]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -14.7%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	17	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.06	9	48%	0.06	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
James Posey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	9	22%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	21	38%	-0.07	2	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Chris Paul	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	11	18%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	6	76%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.01	0.06	5	100%	0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	12	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	10	48%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	13	54%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	8	62%	0.03	5	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	27.5	15.4	25.6	2.3	28.7	124.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +56.0%

NJN +2.8%

NJN +1.6%

NOH -12.2%

NJN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	NJN	NBA	NOH	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.3	92.6	121.1	106.0
season	15.5	15.9		106.0	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.3	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.6	14.7	15.8	15.0	15.5
NJN	14.0	17.2	14.9	13.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	20	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.28	-10	-18	8	13.5	16.1	-2.57	14.0	15.2	-1.23
Morris Peterson	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.27	-14	-14	0	16.4	14.4	2.02	14.9	15.0	-0.12
James Posey	16	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-19	10	15.7	15.5	0.28	16.2	14.7	1.55
Aaron Gray	25	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-17	6	13.3	16.3	-3.05	14.7	15.1	-0.37
David West	62	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-21	14	15.9	14.7	1.17	15.2	14.5	0.72
Emeka Okafor	47	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-21	14	16.2	14.9	1.34	14.4	15.5	-1.01
Darius Songaila	41	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.21	-16	-12	-4	15.7	15.4	0.24	15.7	14.4	1.32
Chris Paul	72	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	-8	-12	16.2	13.5	2.70	15.2	14.2	1.03
Marcus Thornton	82	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-10	-8	15.0	18.7	-3.70	14.9	15.8	-0.94
Darren Collison	53	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.37	-28	0	-28	15.1	16.1	-0.98	14.5	15.5	-0.97

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	57	55	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.38	29	-1	30	15.0	14.9	0.02	15.1	16.1	-0.99
Terrence Williams	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.33	26	2	24	15.1	14.8	0.25	14.8	16.7	-1.81
Chris Douglas-Roberts	54	52	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.39	27	1	26	15.1	14.8	0.36	14.8	16.4	-1.55
Keyon Dooling	36	35	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.45	27	1	26	15.6	14.6	1.05	16.6	14.9	1.67
Josh Boone	37	37	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.44	26	2	24	14.2	15.4	-1.21	15.4	15.6	-0.28
Yi Jianlian	44	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	22	-16	14.7	15.2	-0.51	16.1	15.0	1.11
Devin Harris	49	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	27	-26	15.0	14.9	0.17	16.0	15.0	0.91
Jarvis Hayes	39	39	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	26	-24	14.4	15.3	-0.89	16.5	14.8	1.74
Courtney Lee	38	38	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	27	-26	15.1	14.8	0.29	16.5	14.9	1.60
Brook Lopez	52	52	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	33	-38	15.7	14.0	1.67	15.6	15.5	0.12
Chris Quinn	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	28	-28	12.2	15.3	-3.08	9.7	16.2	-6.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, SEA 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NJN 78, CHH 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
LAC 91, MEM 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%