NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	4.3 [990]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +16.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	108		Comeback	1.1 [1168]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -18.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	12	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.06	23	62%	0.06	4	-0.08	10	80%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Tierre Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	9	25%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Lamar Odom	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.02	-0.00	10	33%	-0.10	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.23	0.02	0.08	22	74%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	18	63%	0.11	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.0	29.5	16.8	26.4	1.7	27.0	131.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +47.8%

LAL -3.3%

LAL -4.8%

SEA +11.1%

LAL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	16.5	15.9	15.5	105.7	120.0	104.0
season	15.7	16.5		105.8	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.3		107.9	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	18.2	16.9	16.6	16.5
SEA	14.9	13.1	17.4	18.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	18.5	16.4	2.06	18.5	15.8	2.68
Jumaine Jones	34	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-10	5	16.1	16.8	-0.70	16.1	15.7	0.39
Tierre Brown	33	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	-10	5	17.1	16.1	0.96	16.9	15.3	1.58
Luke Walton	13	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-6	-3	18.8	16.1	2.68	13.2	16.3	-3.13
Brian Cook	35	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-8	1	17.0	16.1	0.90	16.8	15.3	1.49
Chris Mihm	53	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-11	7	16.6	16.3	0.29	16.2	15.4	0.81
Caron Butler	64	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-9	3	16.1	17.6	-1.56	16.1	15.2	0.97
Kobe Bryant	81	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	-2	-11	16.5	16.6	-0.09	16.0	14.3	1.65
Lamar Odom	65	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	-1	-13	16.3	17.0	-0.75	15.2	17.7	-2.50
Chucky Atkins	60	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.01	-16	1	-17	16.1	17.3	-1.22	15.1	17.5	-2.42

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	49	48	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.24	24	-9	33	15.0	16.9	-1.84	16.5	16.5	0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	66	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	2	11	15.2	17.8	-2.61	16.5	16.4	0.10
Rashard Lewis	71	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	0	15	16.2	14.8	1.31	16.1	18.0	-1.90
Ray Allen	67	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	5	5	16.8	13.2	3.63	17.2	14.5	2.72
Danny Fortson	43	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.04	10	5	5	15.9	15.9	0.01	15.9	17.0	-1.14
Jerome James	38	38	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.02	9	6	3	15.9	15.9	-0.02	16.8	16.3	0.48
Luke Ridnour	51	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	14	-13	15.9	15.8	0.06	15.7	17.5	-1.89
Reggie Evans	30	29	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	11	-7	17.4	15.1	2.33	16.9	16.3	0.56
Ronald Murray	25	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	14	-13	13.6	16.8	-3.15	14.8	17.2	-2.36
Nick Collison	15	15	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	17	-19	14.3	16.2	-1.93	18.7	16.0	2.63
Vitaly Potapenko	3	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	19	-23	15.7	15.9	-0.22	17.5	16.5	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 93, HOU 123	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
DET 76, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
NOH 87, NJN 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%